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ABMABM Industries IncorporatedSell4.9·$44.27-0.61%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ABM Industries screens attractively valued at 10 times forward earnings and demonstrates exceptional cash conversion at 179% of net income, but three of the last four quarters produced EPS misses, quality metrics sit just below the minimum acceptable threshold, and an elevated options put/call ratio of 1.40 argues for caution ahead of a fundamental reset.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash ConversionStable
  • Attractive Valuation At EntryStable
  • Persistent Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.27: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

ABM Industries Incorporated, which operates through its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as "ABM," "we," "us," "our," or the "Company"), is a leading provider of facility maintenance, engineering and infrastructure solutions with a mission to make a difference, every... Read more

$44.27+3.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#22 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.95%
IncomeYield2.62%(5y avg 1.95%)Payout42.69%sustainable
Stop $41.85Target $45.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$52.43+18.4%7 analysts
$45.61our TP
$44.27price
$52.43mean
$68

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.27: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — ABM Industries Incorporated

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth8.4%
Beta0.69
Dividend2.62%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 262.0%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.0
Rsi
7.7
Ma Position
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Operating Margin
1.6
Roa
2.5
Roe
3.0
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 179% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.16Resistance $46.69

Price Targets

$42
$46
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.27: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $41.85. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.61 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $41.85. Stop-loss: $41.85.

What are the risks of investing in ABM?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ABM overvalued or undervalued?

ABM Industries Incorporated trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABM?

12 analysts cover ABM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $52.

What does ABM Industries Incorporated do?ABM Industries Incorporated, which operates through its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as "ABM," "we," "us,"...

ABM Industries Incorporated, which operates through its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as "ABM," "we," "us," "our," or the "Company"), is a leading provider of facility maintenance, engineering and infrastructure solutions with a mission to make a difference, every person, every day. Our history dates back to 1909, when American Building Maintenance Company began as a window washing company in San Francisco with one employee.

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