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ABMABM Industries IncorporatedSell5.3·$53.62
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ABM Industries is a cheaply valued facilities-services company with excellent cash conversion and a dividend-aristocrat record, but thin margins, no moat, a mixed earnings record and a price above the analyst target limit the case.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Margins No Moat→Stable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Cheap Valuation Dividend Aristocrat↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Dec 19, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.62: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

ABM Industries Incorporated, which operates through its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as "ABM," "we," "us," "our," or the "Company"), is a leading provider of facility maintenance, engineering and infrastructure solutions with a mission to make a difference, every... Read more

$53.62-9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#23 of 30 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.95%
IncomeYield2.16%(5y avg 1.96%)Payout41.12%sustainable
Stop $51.40Analyst target $48.66(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$55.93+4.3%7 analysts with price targets
$53.62price
$55.93mean
$49
$68

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.62: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — ABM Industries Incorporated

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 28, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: ABM Industries Incorporated | | | Date: | October 28, 2026 | By: | /s/ David R. Goldman | | | Vice President and Corporate Secretary * * *

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 16, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-9.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.66
Dividend2.16%
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV45%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    ABM Industries Incorporated | | | Date: | October 28, 2026 | By: | /s/ David R. Goldman | | | Vice President and Corporate Secretary * * *
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Operating Margin
1.7
Roa
2.7
Roe
3.1
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
5.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 169% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.95Resistance $54.87

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.3%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-16 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.62: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $51.40. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABM stock price target?

Analyst target $48.66 reached (−9.3% from $53.62); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $51.40. Stop-loss: $51.40.

What are the risks of investing in ABM?

Target reached (-9.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ABM overvalued or undervalued?

ABM Industries Incorporated trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABM?

13 analysts rate ABM, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $56.

What does ABM Industries Incorporated do?ABM Industries Incorporated, which operates through its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as "ABM," "we," "us,"...

ABM Industries Incorporated, which operates through its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as "ABM," "we," "us," "our," or the "Company"), is a leading provider of facility maintenance, engineering and infrastructure solutions with a mission to make a difference, every person, every day. Our history dates back to 1909, when American Building Maintenance Company began as a window washing company in San Francisco with one employee.

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