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York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.01: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.69; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

York Space Systems is a U.S. space and defense prime contractor producing modular spacecraft platforms (S-CLASS, LX-CLASS, M-CLASS), proprietary flight and ground software, and constellation operations for national security customers. Revenue comes substantially from the Space... Read more

$26.01+17.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#37 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $23.88Target $30.16(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$34.67+33.3%9 analysts
$30.16our TP
$26.01price
$34.67mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.01: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.69; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — York Space Systems Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-31.5% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -2.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)48.1
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA-27.9
Profit Mgn-47.4%
ROE
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.69bearish
IV115%elevated
Max Pain$15-42.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
2.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -47.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
5.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.5

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $23.39Resistance $44.54

Price Targets

$24
$30
A.Upside+16.0%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-31.5% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -2.0%)
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YSS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.01: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.69; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $23.88. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.16 (+17.4% upside). Prior stop was $23.88. Stop-loss: $23.88.

What are the risks of investing in YSS?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-31.5% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -2.0%).

Is YSS overvalued or undervalued?

York Space Systems Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 48.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about YSS?

13 analysts cover YSS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $35.

What does York Space Systems Inc. do?York Space Systems is a U.S. space and defense prime contractor producing modular spacecraft platforms (S-CLASS,...

York Space Systems is a U.S. space and defense prime contractor producing modular spacecraft platforms (S-CLASS, LX-CLASS, M-CLASS), proprietary flight and ground software, and constellation operations for national security customers. Revenue comes substantially from the Space Development Agency (SDA); backlog stood at approximately $543M and 107 spacecraft as of December 31, 2025. IPO completed January 30, 2026.

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