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PKEPark Aerospace Corp.Buy Wait6.2·$34.00-0.87%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PKE carries a strong earnings-beat streak and 43% growth into a bullish breakout setup, but an already-reached analyst target, expensive headline valuation, an earnings-quality warning, and a dividend yield-trap warning temper the case.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Strong GrowthImproving
  • Expensive Valuation Target ReachedDeteriorating
  • Bullish Breakout Technical SetupImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Wait for pullback to $32.52. At $34.00 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $32.52 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials.

Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe. It offers advanced composite materials, including film... Read more

$34.00+6.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#11 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 3.06%)Payout89.29%at-risk
Entry $32.52(support + ATR (held))Stop $27.94Target $36.12(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$42.50+25.0%2 analysts
$36.12our TP
$34.00price
$42.50mean
$43

Wait for pullback to $32.52. At $34.00 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $32.52 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-24
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 8, 202676d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials
Thin upside margin: 6.2%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.2
P/E (Fwd)67.3
Mkt Cap$746M
EV/EBITDA37.0
Profit Mgn16.7%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth18.9%
Beta0.40
Dividend1.49%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerten largest customers71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During the Company's fiscal years ended March 1, 2026, March 2, 2025, and March 3, 2024, the Company's ten largest customers accounted for approximately 71%, 66%, and 64%, respectively, of net sales.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersubtier suppliers of GE Aerospace39%
    10-K Item 1: 'During the Company's 2026, 2025, and 2024 fiscal years, 39.3%, 39.8%, and 37.7%, respectively, of the Company's total worldwide net sales were to affiliate and non-affiliate subtier suppliers of GE Aerospace, a leading manufacturer of aerospace engines.'
  • LOWCustomerAerojet Rocketdyne12%
    10-K Item 1: 'In addition, sales to Aerojet Rocketdyne accounted for 11.7% of the Company's total worldwide sales in the 2026 fiscal year.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company has qualified alternate sources of supply for many, but not all, of its raw materials, but certain raw materials are produced by only one supplier.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.33Resistance $39.86

Price Targets

$28
$33
$36
A.Upside+6.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-08 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PKE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $32.52. At $34.00 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $32.52 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $36.12 (+6.2%), stop $27.94 (−21.7%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PKE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.12 (+6.2% upside). Target $36.12 (+6.2%), stop $27.94 (−21.7%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $27.94.

What are the risks of investing in PKE?

Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials; Thin upside margin: 6.2%.

Is PKE overvalued or undervalued?

Park Aerospace Corp. trades at a P/E of 60.2 (forward 67.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PKE?

5 analysts cover PKE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Park Aerospace Corp. do?Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite...

Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe. It offers advanced composite materials, including film adhesives and lightning strike protection materials used to produce primary and secondary structures for jet engines, large and regional transport aircraft, military aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, business jets, general aviation aircraft, and rotary wing aircraft. The company also provides specialty ablative materials for rocket motors and nozzles; and designed materials for radome applications. In addition, it designs and fabricates composite parts, structures and assemblies, and low volume tooling for the aerospace industry. The company was formerly known as Park Electrochemical Corp. and changed its name to Park Aerospace Corp. in July 2019. Park Aerospace Corp. was incorporated in 1954 and is based in Westbury, New York.

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