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MSEXMiddlesex Water CompanySell5.1·$57.55+1.73%
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Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Middlesex Water Company owns and operates regulated water utility and wastewater systems in the United States. It operates in two segments, Regulated and Non-Regulated. The company collects, treats, and distributes water on a retail and wholesale basis to residential,... Read more

$57.55-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-2.84%
IncomeYield2.47%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout58.33%sustainable
Stop $55.09Target $56.83(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$60.00+4.3%2 analysts
$56.83our TP
$57.55price
$60.00mean
$55
$65

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Overbought (RSI 82)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.0
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn22.1%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.77
Dividend2.47%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
8.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MDividend: 247.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.44Resistance $57.99

Price Targets

$55
$57
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.09. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.83 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $55.09. Stop-loss: $55.09.

What are the risks of investing in MSEX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 82).

Is MSEX overvalued or undervalued?

Middlesex Water Company trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MSEX?

8 analysts cover MSEX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Middlesex Water Company do?Middlesex Water Company owns and operates regulated water utility and wastewater systems in the United States. It...

Middlesex Water Company owns and operates regulated water utility and wastewater systems in the United States. It operates in two segments, Regulated and Non-Regulated. The company collects, treats, and distributes water on a retail and wholesale basis to residential, commercial, industrial, and fire protection customers; and provides regulated wastewater system. It also provides non-regulated contract services for the operation and maintenance of municipal and private water and wastewater systems. Middlesex Water Company was incorporated in 1896 and is headquartered in Iselin, New Jersey.

Related stocks: YORW (The York Water Company) · AWR (American States Water Company) · CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) · HTO (H2O America) · CWT (California Water Service Group)
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