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MSEXMiddlesex Water CompanyHold5.8·$56.79
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Middlesex Water shows strong positive momentum that has turned overbought, alongside a three-quarter earnings-miss streak and a negative cash-flow-quality flag despite an already-reached price target.

Thesis pillars

  • Overbought Positive Momentum↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • Analyst Target Reached↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The terms "the Company," "we," "our," and "us" collectively refer to Middlesex Water Company (Middlesex) and its subsidiaries, including Tidewater Utilities, Inc. (Tidewater) and Tidewater's wholly-owned subsidiaries, Southern Shores Water Company, LLC (Southern Shores) and... Read more

$56.79-8.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-3.66%
IncomeYield2.54%(5y avg 1.81%)Payout51.99%sustainable
Stop $54.15Analyst target $51.85(reached)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst consensus$61.00+7.4%2 analysts
$56.79price
$61.00mean
$66

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 108d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 18, 2027108d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn24.5%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta0.73
Dividend2.54%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.8
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 108d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.57Resistance $57.29

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.7%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-18 (108d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSEX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $51.85 reached (−8.7%), stop $54.15 (−4.9%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSEX stock price target?

Analyst target $51.85 reached (−8.7% from $56.79); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $51.85 reached (−8.7%), stop $54.15 (−4.9%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $54.15.

What are the risks of investing in MSEX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MSEX overvalued or undervalued?

Middlesex Water Company trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSEX?

9 analysts cover MSEX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Middlesex Water Company do?The terms "the Company," "we," "our," and "us" collectively refer to Middlesex Water Company (Middlesex) and its...

The terms "the Company," "we," "our," and "us" collectively refer to Middlesex Water Company (Middlesex) and its subsidiaries, including Tidewater Utilities, Inc. (Tidewater) and Tidewater's wholly-owned subsidiaries, Southern Shores Water Company, LLC (Southern Shores) and White Marsh Environmental Systems, Inc. (White Marsh).

Related stocks: YORW (The York Water Company) · AWR (American States Water Company) · CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) · CWT (California Water Service Group) · HTO (H2O America)
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