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WMBWilliams Companies, Inc. (The)Sell5.2·$71.48-0.15%
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Williams Companies, Inc. (The) (WMB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. At $71.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%).

Williams Companies owns and operates natural gas gathering, processing, transmission, and storage infrastructure serving ~800 customers across 24 U.S. states, including Transco (~9,600-mile FERC-regulated interstate pipeline) and NWP (~3,900-mile system). Revenue is primarily... Read more

$71.48+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#32 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.22%
IncomeYield2.93%(5y avg 4.55%)Payout88.82%at-risk
Stop $68.24Target $74.61(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$82.90+16.0%23 analysts
$74.61our TP
$71.48price
$82.90mean
$67
$98

Sell if holding. At $71.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Williams Companies, Inc. (The)

Generated 2026-06-09T22:16:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.4
P/E (Fwd)27.9
Mkt Cap$87.6B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn23.1%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta0.60
Dividend2.93%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.45bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop 10 gathering and processing customers55%
    10-K Item 1: 'The top ten customers accounted for approximately 55 percent of gathering and processing fee revenues and NGL margins from noncash commodity-based agreements.'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 interstate pipeline customers44%
    10-K Item 1: 'The top ten customers of the interstate natural gas pipelines in 2025 accounted for approximately 44 percent of Williams’ regulated interstate natural gas transportation and storage revenues.'
  • HIGHCustomerNWP top 3 customers52%
    10-K Item 1: 'NWP’s three largest customers in 2025 accounted for approximately 52 percent of NWP total operating revenues.'
  • LOWCustomerTransco top 3 customers22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Transco’s three largest customers in 2025 accounted for approximately 22 percent of Transco’s total operating revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Executive Board Chair Alan S. Armstrong resigned from the Board on March 23, 2026 to accept appointment as U.S. Senator for Oklahoma. Stephen W. Bergstrom elected Chairman; Board size reduced from 12 to 11 directors.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting (April 28, 2026), stockholders approved the Amendment and Restatement of the Williams Companies 2007 Incentive Plan, increasing issuable shares from 50M to 85M and making other governance updates.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.5
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 23)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
3.5
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.01Resistance $80.08

Price Targets

$68
$75
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $71.48, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $68.24. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $74.61 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $68.24. Stop-loss: $68.24.

What are the risks of investing in WMB?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Is WMB overvalued or undervalued?

Williams Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 27.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WMB?

29 analysts cover WMB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Williams Companies, Inc. (The) do?Williams Companies owns and operates natural gas gathering, processing, transmission, and storage infrastructure...

Williams Companies owns and operates natural gas gathering, processing, transmission, and storage infrastructure serving ~800 customers across 24 U.S. states, including Transco (~9,600-mile FERC-regulated interstate pipeline) and NWP (~3,900-mile system). Revenue is primarily fee-based from gathering, transmission, and storage services plus NGL marketing. The company also holds interests in LNG export and power generation projects.

Related stocks: VG (Venture Global, Inc.) · LNG (Cheniere Energy, Inc.) · AM (Antero Midstream Corporation) · WES (Western Midstream Partners, LP) · KMI (Kinder Morgan, Inc.)
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