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Williams Companies, Inc. (The) (WMB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%).

Williams Companies owns and operates natural gas gathering, processing, transmission, and storage infrastructure serving ~800 customers across 24 U.S. states, including Transco (~9,600-mile FERC-regulated interstate pipeline) and NWP (~3,900-mile system). Revenue is primarily... Read more

$77.72-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#29 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.20%
IncomeYield2.70%(5y avg 4.61%)Payout88.82%at-risk
Stop $74.02Target $76.68(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$81.94+5.4%23 analysts
$76.68our TP
$77.72price
$81.94mean
$65
$91

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Williams Companies, Inc. (The)

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.1
P/E (Fwd)30.0
Mkt Cap$95.1B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn23.1%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta0.63
Dividend2.70%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.86bearish
IV32%normal
Max Pain$58-25.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop 10 gathering and processing customers55%
    10-K Item 1: 'The top ten customers accounted for approximately 55 percent of gathering and processing fee revenues and NGL margins from noncash commodity-based agreements.'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 interstate pipeline customers44%
    10-K Item 1: 'The top ten customers of the interstate natural gas pipelines in 2025 accounted for approximately 44 percent of Williams’ regulated interstate natural gas transportation and storage revenues.'
  • HIGHCustomerNWP top 3 customers52%
    10-K Item 1: 'NWP’s three largest customers in 2025 accounted for approximately 52 percent of NWP total operating revenues.'
  • LOWCustomerTransco top 3 customers22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Transco’s three largest customers in 2025 accounted for approximately 22 percent of Transco’s total operating revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Executive Board Chair Alan S. Armstrong resigned from the Board on March 23, 2026 to accept appointment as U.S. Senator for Oklahoma. Stephen W. Bergstrom elected Chairman; Board size reduced from 12 to 11 directors.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting (April 28, 2026), stockholders approved the Amendment and Restatement of the Williams Companies 2007 Incentive Plan, increasing issuable shares from 50M to 85M and making other governance updates.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.8
Pe
3.8
Forward Pe
4.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.3
Ps
4.9
Forward P/E: 30.0xPEG: 2.23

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
0.7
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.72Resistance $78.24

Price Targets

$74
$77
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $76.68 (-1.3%), stop $74.02 (−5.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.68 (-1.3% upside). Target $76.68 (-1.3%), stop $74.02 (−5.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $74.02.

What are the risks of investing in WMB?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 gathering and processing customers (55.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: NWP top 3 customers (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is WMB overvalued or undervalued?

Williams Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 34.1 (forward 30.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WMB?

30 analysts cover WMB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Williams Companies, Inc. (The) do?Williams Companies owns and operates natural gas gathering, processing, transmission, and storage infrastructure...

Williams Companies owns and operates natural gas gathering, processing, transmission, and storage infrastructure serving ~800 customers across 24 U.S. states, including Transco (~9,600-mile FERC-regulated interstate pipeline) and NWP (~3,900-mile system). Revenue is primarily fee-based from gathering, transmission, and storage services plus NGL marketing. The company also holds interests in LNG export and power generation projects.

Related stocks: CQP (Cheniere Energy Partners, LP) · VNOM (Viper Energy, Inc.) · VG (Venture Global, Inc.) · WES (Western Midstream Partners, LP) · LNG (Cheniere Energy, Inc.)