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Cheniere Energy Partners, LP (CQP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.33 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (76.0%).

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, provides liquefied natural gas (LNG) to integrated energy companies, utilities, and energy trading companies in the United States and internationally. The company owns and operates natural gas liquefaction and export... Read more

$64.33+1.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#7 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.47%
Stop $60.73Target $65.54(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$59.87-6.9%15 analysts
$65.54our TP
$64.33price
$59.87mean
$50
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.33 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (76.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Cheniere Energy Partners, LP

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (76.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 35.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$30.7B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta0.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-5 customers76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'five customers individually with revenues greater than 10% of total revenues from contracts with external customers accounted for an aggregate of 76% of total revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02LOW
    Matthew Runkle appointed to Board of Cheniere Energy Partners GP effective April 2, 2026, pursuant to CQP Holdco LP board designation rights. Scott Peak resigned from Board simultaneously. No officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.25Resistance $66.88

Price Targets

$61
$66
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CQP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.33 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (76.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $60.73. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CQP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.54 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $60.73. Stop-loss: $60.73.

What are the risks of investing in CQP?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (76.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 35.3): -1.5.

Is CQP overvalued or undervalued?

Cheniere Energy Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CQP?

21 analysts cover CQP with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Cheniere Energy Partners, LP do?Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, provides liquefied natural gas (LNG) to integrated energy...

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, provides liquefied natural gas (LNG) to integrated energy companies, utilities, and energy trading companies in the United States and internationally. The company owns and operates natural gas liquefaction and export facility at the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal located in Cameron Parish, Louisiana. It also owns Creole Trail Pipeline, a natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG terminal with various interstate and intrastate pipelines. Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. is a subsidiary of Cheniere Energy, Inc.

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