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CQPCheniere Energy Partners, LPHold5.7·$63.03
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cheniere Energy Partners has delivered two strong consecutive earnings beats after two prior misses, and roughly 9.6% upside to the near-term resistance target with a risk/reward of approximately 1.85-to-1 offers a technically favorable setup, but five customers representing 76% of revenue, a debt-to-equity ratio of 182.3, and a dividend yield flagged as potentially unsupported by underlying cash generation create meaningful downside risks that collectively warrant caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Reacceleration↑Improving
  • Customer Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Leverage Limits Flexibility↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cheniere Energy Partners, LP (CQP) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five customers (76.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, provides liquefied natural gas (LNG) to integrated energy companies, utilities, and energy trading companies in the United States and internationally. The company owns and operates natural gas liquefaction and export... Read more

$63.03-17.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#37 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.52%
IncomeYield5.28%(5y avg 6.42%)Payout57.17%sustainable
Stop $59.57Analyst target $52.27(reached)A.R:R -3.1:1
Analyst consensus$60.08-4.7%13 analysts with price targets
$63.03price
$60.08mean
$51
$67

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five customers (76.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 113d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Cheniere Energy Partners, LP

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027113d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: five customers (76.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 16.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.3
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn28.1%
ROE1232.8%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta0.28
Dividend5.28%
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C8.00bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$50-20.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerfive customers76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'five customers individually...accounted for an aggregate of 76% of total revenues from contracts with external customers for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02LOW
    Matthew Runkle appointed to Board effective April 2, 2026 pursuant to CQP Holdco LP designation rights; Scott Peak simultaneously resigned from Board, Executive Committee and CMI SPA Committee. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
6.1
Quality Rank
7.8
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -3.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 113d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.76Resistance $65.83

Price Targets

A.Upside-17.1%
A.R:R-3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (113d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CQP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five customers (76.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $52.27 reached (−17.1%), stop $59.57 (−5.8%), A.R:R -3.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CQP stock price target?

Analyst target $52.27 reached (−17.1% from $63.03); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $52.27 reached (−17.1%), stop $59.57 (−5.8%), A.R:R -3.1:1. Stop-loss: $59.57.

What are the risks of investing in CQP?

Concentration risk — Customer: five customers (76.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 16.4): -1.5.

Is CQP overvalued or undervalued?

Cheniere Energy Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CQP?

20 analysts rate CQP, with a consensus score of 2.2/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $60.

What does Cheniere Energy Partners, LP do?Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, provides liquefied natural gas (LNG) to integrated energy...

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, provides liquefied natural gas (LNG) to integrated energy companies, utilities, and energy trading companies in the United States and internationally. The company owns and operates natural gas liquefaction and export facility at the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal located in Cameron Parish, Louisiana. It also owns Creole Trail Pipeline, a natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG terminal with various interstate and intrastate pipelines. Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. is a subsidiary of Cheniere Energy, Inc.

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