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WEYSWeyco Group, Inc.Sell5.9·$60.69
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Weyco is a high-quality footwear company, but earnings are expected to fall about 60% from a peak, the shares are overbought near their 52-week high, and insiders keep selling.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Decline From Peak↓Deteriorating
  • Overbought Near High↑Improving
  • High Business Quality↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 11, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Weyco Group, Inc. (WEYS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $60.69: Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.

$60.69+10.4% Upside to targetScore 5.9/10#6 of 9 Footwear & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.54%
IncomeYield1.81%(5y avg 3.34%)Payout29.95%sustainable
Stop $56.44Resistance target $67.02A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $60.69: Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 115d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Weyco Group, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-07T11:37:32Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Mar 2, 2027115d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Wide economic moat
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)41.9
Mkt Cap$580M
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn14.0%
ROE15.4%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta0.89
Dividend1.81%
Analysts with ratings6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 115d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.80Resistance $68.39

Price Targets

$56
$67
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 42x vs trail 15x (2.9x)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-02 (115d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $60.69: Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $56.44. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WEYS stock price target?

Resistance target: $67.02 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $56.44. Stop-loss: $56.44.

What are the risks of investing in WEYS?

Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is WEYS overvalued or undervalued?

Weyco Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 41.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WEYS?

6 analysts rate WEYS, with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does Weyco Group, Inc. do?The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. ...

The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.

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