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WENWendy's Company (The)Sell4.8·$6.76+0.75%
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Wendy's Company (The) (WEN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. At $6.76, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

The Wendy's Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation, development, and franchising of a system of quick-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through the Wendy's U.S., Wendy's International, and Global Real... Read more

$6.76+4.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#16 of 20 Restaurants
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.27%
IncomeYield8.35%(5y avg 4.82%)Payout72.73%
Stop $6.33Target $7.05(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$7.84+15.9%20 analysts
$7.05our TP
$6.76price
$7.84mean
$5
$13

Sell if holding. At $6.76, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 42%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.7%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.7
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE120.9%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.39
Dividend8.35%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV77%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.53Resistance $8.29

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $6.76, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $6.33. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the WEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.05 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $6.33. Stop-loss: $6.33.

What are the risks of investing in WEN?

Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is WEN overvalued or undervalued?

Wendy's Company (The) trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WEN?

33 analysts cover WEN with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Wendy's Company (The) do?The Wendy's Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation, development, and franchising of a system...

The Wendy's Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation, development, and franchising of a system of quick-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through the Wendy's U.S., Wendy's International, and Global Real Estate & Development segments. Its restaurants offer a menu that includes hamburger sandwiches and chicken sandwiches; chicken tenders and nuggets, chili, french fries, baked potatoes, salads, soft drinks, Frosty desserts, and kids' meals; breakfast menu, including the Breakfast Baconator sandwich and seasoned products; and a variety of promotional products on a limited time basis. The company also owns and leases real estate properties. As of December 28, 2025, there were 5,969 Wendy's restaurants in operation in the United States and 1,428 Wendy's restaurants in operation in 38 foreign countries and U.S. territories. The company was formerly known as Wendy's/Arby's Group, Inc. and changed its name to The Wendy's Company in July 2011. The Wendy's Company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ohio.

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