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WDSWoodside Energy Group LimitedHold6.1·$22.36
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Woodside Energy trades at an attractive valuation with an EV/EBITDA multiple and P/E ratio that score well relative to peers, but revenue has declined 11% year-over-year, free cash flow is negative relative to net income, and growth prospects are absent as an oil and gas exploration company facing commodity price and production headwinds.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Energy Peers→Stable
  • Dividend Yield Trap Risk→Stable
  • Revenue Decline Negative Fcf→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Woodside Energy Group Limited (WDS) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas... Read more

$22.36-7.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#34 of 49 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.32%
IncomeYield5.19%(5y avg 6.54%)Payout69.78%
Stop $21.30Analyst target $20.62(reached)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst consensus$24.26+8.5%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 110d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — Woodside Energy Group Limited

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 22, 2027110d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$42.5B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn22.2%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta-0.20
Dividend5.19%
Analysts with ratings18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$15-32.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Volume
3.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 110d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.68Resistance $23.82

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-22 (110d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $20.62 reached (−7.8%), stop $21.30 (−5.0%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDS stock price target?

Analyst target $20.62 reached (−7.8% from $22.36); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $20.62 reached (−7.8%), stop $21.30 (−5.0%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $21.30.

What are the risks of investing in WDS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Negative momentum.

Is WDS overvalued or undervalued?

Woodside Energy Group Limited trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WDS?

18 analysts rate WDS, with a consensus score of 3.3/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $24.

What does Woodside Energy Group Limited do?Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of...

Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas liquids. The company holds interests in the Pluto LNG, North West Shelf, Wheatstone and Julimar-Brunello, Bass Strait, Ngujima-Yin FPSO, Okha FPSO, Pyrenees FPSO, Macedon, Shenzi, Mad dog, Greater Angostura, as well as Scarborough, Sangomar, Trion, Calypso, Browse, Liard, Ruby, Sangomar, Atlantis, Woodside Solar opportunity, and Sunrise and Troubadour. It is also involved in the development of new energy products and lower-carbon services. The company was formerly known as Woodside Petroleum Ltd and changed its name to Woodside Energy Group Ltd in May 2022. Woodside Energy Group Ltd was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

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