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Walker & Dunlop, Inc (WD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Mortgage Finance

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $49.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. The company operates through three segments:... Read more

$49.73+17.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 4 Mortgage Finance
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield5.62%(5y avg 2.81%)Payout133.17%at-risk
Stop $46.25Target $58.37(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$68.67+38.1%3 analysts
$58.37our TP
$49.73price
$68.67mean
$70

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $49.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Walker & Dunlop, Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:13:16Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.0
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE4.2%
Rev Growth32.0%
Beta1.51
Dividend5.62%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.40bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$50+0.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $47.51Resistance $56.85

Price Targets

$46
$58
A.Upside+17.4%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $49.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $46.25. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.37 (+17.4% upside). Prior stop was $46.25. Stop-loss: $46.25.

What are the risks of investing in WD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is WD overvalued or undervalued?

Walker & Dunlop, Inc trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WD?

11 analysts cover WD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Walker & Dunlop, Inc do?Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other...

Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate. The company offers first mortgage, second trust, supplemental, construction, mezzanine, preferred equity, and small-balance loans. It also provides finance for multifamily, manufactured housing communities, student housing, affordable housing, small balance loans, and senior housing properties under the Fannie Mae's Delegated Underwriting and Servicing program and Freddie Mac; and construction and permanent loans to developers and owners of multifamily housing, affordable housing, senior housing, and healthcare facilities. In addition, the company acts as a debt broker to work with life insurance companies, banks, and other institutional investors to find debt and/or equity solution for the borrowers' needs; and offers property sales brokerage services to owners and developers of multifamily properties, and commercial real estate and multifamily property appraisals for various investors. Further, it provides multifamily appraisal and valuation services; and real estate-related investment banking and advisory services, including housing market research. Additionally, the company offers servicing and asset-managing the portfolio of loans; originates loans through its principal lending and investing activities; and manages third-party capital invested in tax credit equity funds focused on the LIHTC sector and other commercial real estate sectors. Walker & Dunlop, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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