CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the CARG stock price target?

Take-profit $37.89 (+3.8% upside). Target $37.89 (+3.8%), stop $34.57 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.3:1.

Q: Is CARG overvalued or undervalued?

CarGurus, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about CARG?

20 analysts cover CARG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: dealers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

CarGurus operates the No. 1 visited automotive shopping site in the US, connecting consumers with dealers in the US, UK, and Canada. Revenue is derived from dealer subscription fees for enhanced marketplace features, advertising from auto manufacturers, and financing service... Read more

$36.49+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 16 Auto & Truck Dealerships

Stop $34.57Target $37.89(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1

Analyst target$35.96-1.5%12 analysts

$37.89our TP

$36.49price

$35.96mean

$32

$42

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: dealers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

High-quality business

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: dealers

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7

P/E (Fwd)12.6

Mkt Cap$3.3B

EV/EBITDA13.5

Profit Mgn17.2%

ROE43.0%

Rev Growth5.5%

Beta1.32

DividendNone

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral

IV79%elevated

Max Pain$55+50.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomerdealers
10-K Item 1A: 'Our business is substantially dependent on our relationships with dealers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.215%0.93

Quality8.815%1.32

Growth4.915%0.73

Momentum3.410%0.34

Sentiment5.810%0.58

Insider Activity5.210%0.52

Peer Rank5.910%0.59

Technical Setup5.45%0.27

Risk Profile5.25%0.26

Catalyst6.05%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)5.84

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

1.9

Rsi

5.0

Ma Position

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

69 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.37Resistance $38.66

Price Targets

$35

$38

A.Upside+3.8%

A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.3% upside)

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CARG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: dealers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $37.89 (+3.8%), stop $34.57 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CARG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.89 (+3.8% upside). Target $37.89 (+3.8%), stop $34.57 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $34.57.

What are the risks of investing in CARG?

Concentration risk — Customer: dealers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is CARG overvalued or undervalued?

CarGurus, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CARG?

20 analysts cover CARG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

What does CarGurus, Inc. do?CarGurus operates the No. 1 visited automotive shopping site in the US, connecting consumers with dealers in the US,...