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VSCOVictorias Secret & Co.Sell5.9·$55.20+0.36%
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Victorias Secret & Co. (VSCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.20: Risk below floor (1.1 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.09; Below-average business quality.

Victoria's Secret & Co. operates 858 company-operated stores in the U.S., Canada, and China plus 562 partner-operated stores across ~70 countries, selling intimates, sleepwear, apparel, and beauty under the Victoria's Secret, PINK, and Adore Me brands. North American stores... Read more

$55.20+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $50.50Target $57.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$65.78+19.2%9 analysts
$57.23our TP
$55.20price
$65.78mean
$50
$81

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.20: Risk below floor (1.1 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: North American stores (54.0%)
Risk below floor (1.1 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.1
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE
Rev Growth15.3%
Beta2.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.09bearish
IV117%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNorth American stores54%
    10-K Item 1: 'The North American stores channel represents our physical retail locations in North America and accounted for $3.544 billion, or 54%, of our net sales in 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    Director Mariam Naficy decided not to stand for re-election at the June 11, 2026 annual meeting due to near-term professional commitments and BBRC proxy contest launched May 4, 2026. Board will reduce from 10 to 9. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Volatile — 5.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
1.9
Beta
2.5
Days To Cover
3.2
High short interest: 22%Elevated put/call: 4.09High IV: 117%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.12Resistance $60.65

Price Targets

$51
$57
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.1 < 3.0)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VSCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.20: Risk below floor (1.1 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $50.50. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VSCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.23 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $50.50. Stop-loss: $50.50.

What are the risks of investing in VSCO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: North American stores (54.0%); Risk below floor (1.1 < 3.0).

Is VSCO overvalued or undervalued?

Victorias Secret & Co. trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VSCO?

17 analysts cover VSCO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Victorias Secret & Co. do?Victoria's Secret & Co. operates 858 company-operated stores in the U.S., Canada, and China plus 562 partner-operated...

Victoria's Secret & Co. operates 858 company-operated stores in the U.S., Canada, and China plus 562 partner-operated stores across ~70 countries, selling intimates, sleepwear, apparel, and beauty under the Victoria's Secret, PINK, and Adore Me brands. North American stores generated $3.5 billion (54%) of 2025 net sales; digital channels added $2.0 billion (31%) and international franchise, wholesale, and China JV contributed $967 million (15%). The company employs approximately 33,000 associates.

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