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Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 82; Overbought (RSI 82).

Varonis is a data security platform company protecting enterprise data across cloud, SaaS, and on-premises environments including Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google Workspace, and on-premises file systems. Revenue is primarily SaaS subscriptions; the company is ending self-hosted... Read more

$26.77+21.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#33 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $24.91Target $32.53(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$36.14+35.0%21 analysts
$32.53our TP
$26.77price
$36.14mean
$47

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 82; Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.5Qual4.6Grw7.4Mom5.6Sent8.1Ins6.6Peer1.9Tech2.4Risk4.75.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 82
Overbought (RSI 82)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)65.8
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA-19.3
Profit Mgn-20.7%
ROE-24.5%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$13-53.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
3.2
Value Rank
3.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
2.9
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.70Resistance $29.72

Price Targets

$25
$33
A.Upside+21.5%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VRNS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 82; Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $32.53 (+21.5%), stop $24.91 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VRNS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.53 (+21.4% upside). Target $32.53 (+21.5%), stop $24.91 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $24.91.

What are the risks of investing in VRNS?

Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 82; Overbought (RSI 82); Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is VRNS overvalued or undervalued?

Varonis Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 65.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VRNS?

29 analysts cover VRNS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

What does Varonis Systems, Inc. do?Varonis is a data security platform company protecting enterprise data across cloud, SaaS, and on-premises environments...

Varonis is a data security platform company protecting enterprise data across cloud, SaaS, and on-premises environments including Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google Workspace, and on-premises file systems. Revenue is primarily SaaS subscriptions; the company is ending self-hosted term licenses by December 31, 2026. It focuses on reducing breach blast radius through automated access governance.

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