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VOYAVoya Financial, Inc.Sell5.4·$95.12
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Voya Financial offers attractive valuation at a forward price-to-earnings of 8.3x with a perfect Piotroski score of 9 and excellent cash conversion at 214% of net income, but two consecutive earnings misses, a stock trading above its analyst price target with negative asymmetry, and an overbought RSI of 79 limit the near-term entry case.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion Max Piotroski→Stable
  • Attractive Forward Pe Valuation→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Voya Financial, Inc. (VOYA) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Voya Financial provides workplace retirement solutions, investment management, and employee benefits across three segments, serving approximately 18 million individual customers and 50,000+ employer clients in the U.S. and internationally. The company had $1.1 trillion in... Read more

$95.12-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 5 Financial Conglomerates
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16.57%
IncomeYield1.97%(5y avg 1.60%)Payout31.31%sustainable
Stop $90.70Target $100.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$108.17+13.7%12 analysts
$100.11our TP
$95.12price
$108.17mean
$90
$127

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15

Recent Developments — Voya Financial, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-15T11:47:14Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn7.4%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth-4.3%
Beta0.89
Dividend1.97%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$85-10.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
3.3
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.85Resistance $102.15

Price Targets

$91
$100
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VOYA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $90.70. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VOYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $100.11 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $90.70. Stop-loss: $90.70.

What are the risks of investing in VOYA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is VOYA overvalued or undervalued?

Voya Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VOYA?

19 analysts cover VOYA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $108.

What does Voya Financial, Inc. do?Voya Financial provides workplace retirement solutions, investment management, and employee benefits across three...

Voya Financial provides workplace retirement solutions, investment management, and employee benefits across three segments, serving approximately 18 million individual customers and 50,000+ employer clients in the U.S. and internationally. The company had $1.1 trillion in AUM/AUA at December 31, 2025, generating $1.038 billion in adjusted operating earnings before income taxes for 2025.

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