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FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.Sell5.8·$135.65-2.34%
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Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $135.65: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Freedom Holding Corp. is a Kazakhstan-based holding company operating brokerage, banking, insurance, and ancillary tech services across Central Asia, Europe, the UAE, and the US from 230 offices with 11,627 employees. Total revenue was $2,191.3 million for the fiscal year ended... Read more

$135.65+16.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 4 Financial Conglomerates
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $129.01Target $157.50(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $135.65: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Freedom Holding Corp.

About Freedom Holding Corp.

Freedom Holding Corp. generated $2,191.3 million in total net revenue for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026—growing from $2,004.2 million in fiscal 2025—while total assets reached $13.2 billion against a backdrop of 11,627 employees and 230 offices spanning Kazakhstan, Europe, Central Asia, the UAE, and the United States. The four reportable segments are Brokerage (858,000 customer accounts), Banking (5,026,000 customers), Insurance (1,117,000 customers), and Other (8% of total revenue). The company's U.S. broker-dealer subsidiary, Freedom Capital Markets, is registered with the SEC and FINRA.

Freedom Holding Corp. earns brokerage revenue primarily through transaction-based commissions and margin lending across 858,000 retail accounts; a majority of non-U.S. customer brokerage transactions are executed through OTC arrangements with its non-U.S. market maker customer, settled via prime broker and clearing firms. Banking revenue comes from net interest income on $2,045.3 million in loans and fees on $2,522.8 million in deposits at Freedom Bank KZ, acquired in December 2020, which grew deposits 46% year-over-year to reach that balance. The Insurance segment collects premiums through two Kazakhstan carriers—Freedom Life, holding a 19.3% market share in Kazakhstan's pension annuity insurance segment, and Freedom Insurance, which controlled 14.53% of the Kazakhstan car owners liability insurance market at March 31, 2026. The Other segment—covering payment processing, e-commerce, and ticketing—contributed $172.8 million, or 8%, of fiscal 2026 net revenue, with developing telecommunications and media businesses in Kazakhstan.

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Freedom Holding Corp.'s core operations in Kazakhstan—where the National Bank of Kazakhstan (NBK) oversees banking and insurance subsidiaries—expose the company to macro risks tied to that single economy, including commodity-driven external shocks and an evolving tax regime flagged in the 10-K. Separately, a planned approximately $2 billion AI data center project—based on a non-binding memorandum of understanding with Kazakhstan's Ministry of AI and Digital Development and NVIDIA Corporation signed in November 2025—is subject to feasibility analysis, and required export licenses for advanced GPUs from the U.S. government may not be obtained on a timely basis or at all, depending on applicable export-control requirements.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates

From Freedom Holding Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Freedom Holding Corp.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:26:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.3
P/E (Fwd)30.9
Mkt Cap$8.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth146.7%
Beta0.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$250+84.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicKazakhstan
    10-K Item 1: 'The main market of our operations is Kazakhstan.'
  • MEDIUMCustomercertain customers and products
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenues are concentrated in certain customers and products, which may materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $133.00Resistance $160.71

Price Targets

$129
$158
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts0
Consensus
Avg Target

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $135.65: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $129.01. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $157.50 (+16.1% upside). Prior stop was $129.01. Stop-loss: $129.01.

What are the risks of investing in FRHC?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is FRHC overvalued or undervalued?

Freedom Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 55.3 (forward 30.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Freedom Holding Corp. do?Freedom Holding Corp. is a Kazakhstan-based holding company operating brokerage, banking, insurance, and ancillary tech...

Freedom Holding Corp. is a Kazakhstan-based holding company operating brokerage, banking, insurance, and ancillary tech services across Central Asia, Europe, the UAE, and the US from 230 offices with 11,627 employees. Total revenue was $2,191.3 million for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, earned across four segments—Brokerage (858,000 accounts), Banking (5,026,000 customers), Insurance (1,117,000 customers), and Other.

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