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USBU.S. BancorpHold5.7·$58.00-1.59%
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U.S. Bancorp (USB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

U.S. Bancorp is a Minneapolis-based financial holding company with $522.2 billion in consolidated deposits, operating 2,075 branches across 26 states primarily in the Midwest and West. It earns revenue from lending, payments, wealth management, and capital markets, serving... Read more

$58.00+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#84 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.50%(5y avg 4.21%)Payout43.19%sustainable
Stop $55.34Target $58.37(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$63.50+9.5%19 analysts
$58.37our TP
$58.00price
$63.50mean
$74

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About U.S. Bancorp

About U.S. Bancorp

U.S. Bancorp held $522.2 billion in consolidated deposits through U.S. Bank National Association at December 31, 2025, operating 2,075 branches and 4,428 ATMs across 26 U.S. states primarily in the Midwest and West, with 68,520 employees globally. The company is regulated as a Category III institution under the Federal Reserve's Tailoring Rules, with USBNA subject to oversight by the OCC, FDIC, Federal Reserve, and CFPB. In January 2026, U.S. Bancorp announced a definitive agreement to acquire BTIG — a global institutional trading and investment banking firm — for up to $1 billion, expected to close in Q2 2026 subject to regulatory approvals.

U.S. Bancorp generates revenue across four major segments: Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking (serving middle-market, large corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients); Consumer and Business Banking (delivered through branches, digital channels, and intermediary relationships); Payment Services (consumer and business credit cards, debit cards, corporate card services, and merchant processing in the U.S., Canada, and segments of Europe); and Treasury and Corporate Support (investment portfolios, capital management, and interest rate risk). Net interest income is the primary revenue driver and is materially sensitive to Federal Reserve rate actions — the company notes that elevated long-term rates have historically increased net interest income but may also suppress loan origination and increase funding costs. The company is one of the largest U.S. providers of corporate trust services and corporate purchasing card services.

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U.S. Bancorp's regulatory posture is anchored by Category III classification, which carries enhanced prudential standards under Dodd-Frank. In December 2025, the OCC proposed raising the asset threshold for heightened standards applicable to large national banks from $50 billion to $700 billion; the effect on USBNA will depend on the final rulemaking. A transition from Category III to Category II — triggered if average consolidated assets reach $700 billion or cross-jurisdictional activity reaches $75 billion — would impose stricter capital and liquidity requirements, affecting capital distribution capacity and strategic flexibility.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From U.S. Bancorp's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$91.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn29.3%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta1.00
Dividend3.50%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$63+8.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicMidwest and West regions
    10-K Item 1: 'Banking and investment services are provided through a network of branches and banking offices across the United States, primarily in the Midwest and West regions'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.61Resistance $59.56

Price Targets

$55
$58
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $58.37 (+0.6%), stop $55.34 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.37 (+0.6% upside). Target $58.37 (+0.6%), stop $55.34 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $55.34.

What are the risks of investing in USB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is USB overvalued or undervalued?

U.S. Bancorp trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about USB?

26 analysts cover USB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $64.

What does U.S. Bancorp do?U.S. Bancorp is a Minneapolis-based financial holding company with $522.2 billion in consolidated deposits, operating...

U.S. Bancorp is a Minneapolis-based financial holding company with $522.2 billion in consolidated deposits, operating 2,075 branches across 26 states primarily in the Midwest and West. It earns revenue from lending, payments, wealth management, and capital markets, serving individuals, businesses, and institutional clients domestically.

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