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U.S. Bancorp (USB) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum.

U.S. Bancorp is a Minneapolis-based financial holding company with $522.2 billion in consolidated deposits, operating 2,075 branches across 26 states primarily in the Midwest and West. It earns revenue from lending, payments, wealth management, and capital markets, serving... Read more

$53.51+6.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#92 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.88%(5y avg 4.19%)Payout43.19%sustainable
Stop $51.23Target $57.13(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$63.48+18.6%20 analysts
$57.13our TP
$53.51price
$63.48mean
$74

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — U.S. Bancorp

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$82.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn29.3%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta1.02
Dividend3.88%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV44%normal
Max Pain$40-25.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicMidwest and West regions
    10-K Item 1: 'Banking and investment services are provided through a network of branches and banking offices across the United States, primarily in the Midwest and West regions'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.33Resistance $58.05

Price Targets

$51
$57
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $57.13 (+6.8%), stop $51.23 (−4.5%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.13 (+6.8% upside). Target $57.13 (+6.8%), stop $51.23 (−4.5%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $51.23.

What are the risks of investing in USB?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum.

Is USB overvalued or undervalued?

U.S. Bancorp trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about USB?

28 analysts cover USB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $63.

What does U.S. Bancorp do?U.S. Bancorp is a Minneapolis-based financial holding company with $522.2 billion in consolidated deposits, operating...

U.S. Bancorp is a Minneapolis-based financial holding company with $522.2 billion in consolidated deposits, operating 2,075 branches across 26 states primarily in the Midwest and West. It earns revenue from lending, payments, wealth management, and capital markets, serving individuals, businesses, and institutional clients domestically.

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