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UBSUBS Group AG RegisteredHold5.6·$50.67
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

UBS Group offers attractive valuation at 12x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.90 and rising on-balance volume above its 200-day moving average, but having already exceeded its analyst price target by 15.5%, the stock offers no near-term asymmetric entry point.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation 12x Forward↓Deteriorating
  • Above 200 Day Volume Accumulation↑Improving
  • Piotroski 7 Strong Margins↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services,... Read more

$50.67-7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.17%(5y avg 1.93%)Payout36.30%sustainable
Stop $48.55Analyst target $46.92(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$55.20+8.9%3 analysts with price targets
$50.67price
$55.20mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft restructuring. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — UBS Group AG Registered

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$153.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn18.2%
ROE—
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta0.84
Dividend2.17%
Analysts with ratings25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$38-26.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
5.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.1
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVENEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.93Resistance $51.03

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! NEWS_SOFT:RESTRUCTURING

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $46.92 reached (−7.4%), stop $48.55 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBS stock price target?

Analyst target $46.92 reached (−7.4% from $50.67); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $46.92 reached (−7.4%), stop $48.55 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $48.55.

What are the risks of investing in UBS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is UBS overvalued or undervalued?

UBS Group AG Registered trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UBS?

25 analysts rate UBS, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $55.

What does UBS Group AG Registered do?UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth...

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services, advice, and solutions; investment management, estate planning, and corporate advice services; and wealth management and banking products and services to private wealth and institutional customers. Its Personal & Corporate Banking segment provides banking, retirement, financing, investments, and strategic transactions to private, corporate, and institutional customers through its branch network and digital channels in Switzerland. The Asset Management segment offers diversified asset management services. Its Investment Bank segment provides equities, foreign exchange, precious metals, research, advisory, and capital markets services to institutional, corporate, financial sponsor, and Global Wealth Management customers, as well as focused rates and credit platform. The company also offers lending products, such as securities-based lending, mortgages, structured products, and tailored solutions; collateralized lending residential and commercial real estate, primarily against securities, residential and commercial real estate, other real assets (such as ships and aircraft), private market and hedge fund interest; and unsecured lending. The company was formerly known as UBS AG and changed its name to UBS Group AG in December 2014. UBS Group AG was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

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