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Under Armour, Inc. (UA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.99: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Under Armour develops and markets branded performance apparel (67%), footwear (23%), and accessories (8%) for athletes globally, with North America (~60% of fiscal 2025 net revenues) as the primary market. Products are sold via wholesale (58%) and direct-to-consumer (40%)... Read more

$4.99+25.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#9 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-24.37%
Stop $4.65Target $6.28(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.99: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Under Armour, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: top-10 apparel/accessories manufacturers (69.0%)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.2
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn-10.0%
ROE-30.0%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta1.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$3-49.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliertop-10 apparel/accessories manufacturers69%
    10-K Item 1A: 'ten manufacturers produced approximately 69% of our apparel and accessories products, and nine produced substantially all of our footwear products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Reza Taleghani joined as EVP, Chief Financial Officer effective February 11, 2026, replacing David Bergman as principal financial officer. Bergman remains as a senior advisor for a transition period.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
1.0
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
5.1
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
5.9
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.0
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
7.7
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)INSIDER 0.28%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.67Resistance $6.41

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+25.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.99: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $4.65. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.28 (+25.5% upside). Prior stop was $4.65. Stop-loss: $4.65.

What are the risks of investing in UA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: top-10 apparel/accessories manufacturers (69.0%); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is UA overvalued or undervalued?

Under Armour, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UA?

30 analysts cover UA with a consensus score of 3.3/5.

What does Under Armour, Inc. do?Under Armour develops and markets branded performance apparel (67%), footwear (23%), and accessories (8%) for athletes...

Under Armour develops and markets branded performance apparel (67%), footwear (23%), and accessories (8%) for athletes globally, with North America (~60% of fiscal 2025 net revenues) as the primary market. Products are sold via wholesale (58%) and direct-to-consumer (40%) channels; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues, and 10 manufacturers produced ~69% of apparel and accessories products.

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