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TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Sell4.6·$215.88+1.95%
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Take-Two Interactive Software, (TTWO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $215.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.61; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Take-Two Interactive develops and publishes video games through Rockstar Games (Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead), 2K (NBA 2K, BioShock, Civilization), and Zynga (mobile free-to-play) across console, PC, and mobile platforms globally. Revenue is primarily digital; 81% of fiscal 2025... Read more

$215.88+16.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#5 of 5 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield3.68%
Stop $202.51Target $251.19(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$279.11+29.3%29 analysts
$251.19our TP
$215.88price
$279.11mean
$170
$320

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $215.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.61; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Take-Two Interactive Software,

About Take-Two Interactive Software,

Take-Two Interactive's five largest customers accounted for 80.6% of net revenue for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with Apple, Sony, Google, and Microsoft each individually exceeding 10%. International sales represented 40.8% of net revenue. Grand Theft Auto VI is scheduled for release on November 19, 2026, and the Grand Theft Auto series has sold over 465 million units since inception, anchoring the Rockstar Games label.

Take-Two generates revenue across three publishing labels with distinct models. Rockstar Games publishes a limited number of premium titles — including Grand Theft Auto V (225 million units sold) and Red Dead Redemption 2 (80 million units) — monetized through software sales, virtual currency, and the GTA+ subscription. The 2K label covers sports simulations including NBA 2K, WWE 2K, and PGA TOUR 2K, plus action and strategy franchises such as Borderlands and BioShock. Zynga operates free-to-play mobile titles monetized through in-app purchases and advertising, competing against Playrix and Playtika in the mobile segment. PlayStation and Xbox platforms combined represented 39.0% of net revenue by platform, and Apple and Google platforms generated 91.0% of mobile segment revenue. The company distributes through digital storefronts, physical retail, and a direct-to-consumer platform.

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Take-Two's license agreements with Sony and Microsoft — whose consoles accounted for 39.0% of net revenue — expire on March 31, 2027, with Sony retaining the right to terminate on 30 days' notice and Microsoft able to terminate immediately on breach. Separately, Apple captured a dominant share of mobile revenue alongside Google (91.0% combined in fiscal 2026), and Apple's App Tracking Transparency framework, maintained since April 2021, constrains the advertising attribution tools that mobile publishers use for user acquisition, exposing the company to further platform policy risk if these terms tighten.

See also: Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

From Take-Two Interactive Software, 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, Microsoft each >10%) (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple and Google mobile platforms (92.9%)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$39.3B
EV/EBITDA51.1
Profit Mgn-4.5%
ROE-10.6%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta0.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.61bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$203-6.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, Microsoft each >10%)81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our five largest customers during the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, accounted for 81.0% of our net revenue, with Apple, Sony, Google, and Microsoft each accounting for more than 10.0% of our net revenue.'
  • HIGHCustomerApple and Google mobile platforms93%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 92.9% of our mobile revenue on Apple and Google platforms'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.7
Moat
5.1
Fcf Quality
6.0
Gross Margin
7.5
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 22%, FCF yield 3.7%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $206.00Resistance $247.00

Price Targets

$203
$251
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTWO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $215.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.61; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $202.51. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTWO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $251.19 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $202.51. Stop-loss: $202.51.

What are the risks of investing in TTWO?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, Microsoft each >10%) (81.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Apple and Google mobile platforms (92.9%); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is TTWO overvalued or undervalued?

Take-Two Interactive Software, trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTWO?

37 analysts cover TTWO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $279.

What does Take-Two Interactive Software, do?Take-Two Interactive develops and publishes video games through Rockstar Games (Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead), 2K (NBA...

Take-Two Interactive develops and publishes video games through Rockstar Games (Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead), 2K (NBA 2K, BioShock, Civilization), and Zynga (mobile free-to-play) across console, PC, and mobile platforms globally. Revenue is primarily digital; 81% of fiscal 2025 net revenues came from the top 5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, and Microsoft each exceeded 10%), with 39.5% from outside the U.S.

Related stocks: EA (Electronic Arts Inc.) · NTES (NetEase, Inc.) · RBLX (Roblox Corporation) · BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED - American Depo) · TEO (Telecom Argentina SA)
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