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Take-Two Interactive Software, (TTWO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Earnings in 2 days (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $238.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Take-Two Interactive develops and publishes video games through Rockstar Games (Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead), 2K (NBA 2K, BioShock, Civilization), and Zynga (mobile free-to-play) across console, PC, and mobile platforms globally. Revenue is primarily digital; 81% of fiscal 2025... Read more

$238.00+4.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 5 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield3.31%
Stop $223.18Target $249.36(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$277.06+16.4%27 analysts
$249.36our TP
$238.00price
$277.06mean
$165
$320

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $238.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Take-Two Interactive Software,

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, Microsoft each >10%) (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Apple and Google mobile platforms (92.9%)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)30.6
Mkt Cap$44.8B
EV/EBITDA55.9
Profit Mgn-60.4%
ROE-86.2%
Rev Growth24.9%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV85%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, Microsoft each >10%)81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our five largest customers during the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, accounted for 81.0% of our net revenue, with Apple, Sony, Google, and Microsoft each accounting for more than 10.0% of our net revenue.'
  • HIGHCustomerApple and Google mobile platforms93%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 92.9% of our mobile revenue on Apple and Google platforms'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
6.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -60.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.8
Fcf Quality
6.0
Gross Margin
7.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 23%, FCF yield 3.3%)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.5
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $206.45Resistance $246.25

Price Targets

$223
$249
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTWO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $238.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $223.18. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTWO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $249.36 (+4.7% upside). Prior stop was $223.18. Stop-loss: $223.18.

What are the risks of investing in TTWO?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, Microsoft each >10%) (81.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Apple and Google mobile platforms (92.9%); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is TTWO overvalued or undervalued?

Take-Two Interactive Software, trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 30.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTWO?

37 analysts cover TTWO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $277.

What does Take-Two Interactive Software, do?Take-Two Interactive develops and publishes video games through Rockstar Games (Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead), 2K (NBA...

Take-Two Interactive develops and publishes video games through Rockstar Games (Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead), 2K (NBA 2K, BioShock, Civilization), and Zynga (mobile free-to-play) across console, PC, and mobile platforms globally. Revenue is primarily digital; 81% of fiscal 2025 net revenues came from the top 5 customers (Apple, Sony, Google, and Microsoft each exceeded 10%), with 39.5% from outside the U.S.

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