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TSTenaris S.A.Sell5.6·$60.73-3.31%
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Tenaris S.A. (TS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $60.73 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5.

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel... Read more

$60.73+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#12 of 30 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.09%
IncomeYield2.83%(5y avg 3.21%)Payout44.74%sustainable
Stop $57.66Target $63.30(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$63.80+5.1%12 analysts
$63.30our TP
$60.73price
$63.80mean
$52
$82

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $60.73 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$31.7B
EV/EBITDA21.5
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta0.47
Dividend2.83%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.44Resistance $64.59

Price Targets

$58
$63
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.6% upside)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $60.73 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $57.66. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.30 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $57.66. Stop-loss: $57.66.

What are the risks of investing in TS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is TS overvalued or undervalued?

Tenaris S.A. trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TS?

20 analysts cover TS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Tenaris S.A. do?Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for...

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel casings to sustain the walls of oil and gas wells during and after drilling; steel tubing for conducting crude oil and natural gas to the surface after drilling has been completed; steel line pipes to transport crude oil and natural gas from wells to refineries, storage tanks, and loading and distribution centers; and mechanical and structural pipes for the transportation of other forms of gas and liquids under high pressure. The company also offers cold-drawn pipes for use in boilers, superheaters, condensers, heat exchangers, automobile production, and other industrial applications; premium joints and couplings for use in high temperature or high pressure environments under the TenarisHydril brand name; coiled tubing is used for oil and gas drilling and well workovers and for subsea pipelines; sucker rods used in oil extraction activities, tubes used for plumbing and construction applications, and oilfield / hydraulic fracturing services; pipe coating services; and automotive components. In addition, it engages in the sale of energy and raw materials; development, management, and licensing of intellectual property; procurement and trading services; and financial operations, as well as markets steel products. Further, the company manufactures and markets connections; and welded and seamless steel pipes. Tenaris S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Tenaris S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.àr.l.

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