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TSTenaris S.A.Hold5.5·$60.32
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tenaris has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 14.9%, generates 16% net margins that rank best-in-class among peers, and carries a Piotroski score of 8/9 — a high-quality oil country tubular goods manufacturer that is currently priced beyond analyst consensus.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak Strong Surprise→Stable
  • Best In Class Margins Peer Rank→Stable
  • High Financial Health Piotroski→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tenaris S.A. (TS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel... Read more

$60.32-6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#19 of 34 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.84%
IncomeYield2.95%(5y avg 3.10%)Payout47.53%sustainable
Stop $57.26Analyst target $56.51(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$64.96+7.7%12 analysts
$60.32price
$64.96mean
$42
$80

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA21.5
Profit Mgn15.9%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth-3.9%
Beta0.48
Dividend2.95%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C4.43bearish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Earnings Growth
4.4
Declining revenue: -4%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
0.3
52w Position
8.7
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.29Resistance $60.32

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $56.51 reached (−6.3%), stop $57.26 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TS stock price target?

Analyst target $56.51 reached (−6.3% from $60.32); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $56.51 reached (−6.3%), stop $57.26 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $57.26.

What are the risks of investing in TS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Is TS overvalued or undervalued?

Tenaris S.A. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TS?

20 analysts cover TS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Tenaris S.A. do?Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for...

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel casings to sustain the walls of oil and gas wells during and after drilling; steel tubing for conducting crude oil and natural gas to the surface after drilling has been completed; steel line pipes to transport crude oil and natural gas from wells to refineries, storage tanks, and loading and distribution centers; and mechanical and structural pipes for the transportation of other forms of gas and liquids under high pressure. The company also offers cold-drawn pipes for use in boilers, superheaters, condensers, heat exchangers, automobile production, and other industrial applications; premium joints and couplings for use in high temperature or high pressure environments under the TenarisHydril brand name; coiled tubing is used for oil and gas drilling and well workovers and for subsea pipelines; sucker rods used in oil extraction activities, tubes used for plumbing and construction applications, and oilfield / hydraulic fracturing services; pipe coating services; and automotive components. In addition, it engages in the sale of energy and raw materials; development, management, and licensing of intellectual property; procurement and trading services; and financial operations, as well as markets steel products. Further, the company manufactures and markets connections; and welded and seamless steel pipes. Tenaris S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Tenaris S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.àr.l.

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