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TSTenaris S.A.Buy Wait5.6·$53.04-0.67%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tenaris has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 14.9%, generates 16% net margins that rank best-in-class among peers, and carries a Piotroski score of 8/9 — a high-quality oil country tubular goods manufacturer that is currently priced beyond analyst consensus.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak Strong SurpriseDeteriorating
  • Best In Class Margins Peer RankDeteriorating
  • High Financial Health PiotroskiDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tenaris S.A. (TS) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Wait for pullback to $51.00. At $53.04 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.00 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Weak growth.

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel... Read more

$53.04+5.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#20 of 36 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.22%
IncomeYield3.35%(5y avg 3.21%)Payout44.74%sustainable
Entry $51.00(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $47.84Target $55.93(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$64.29+21.2%12 analysts
$55.93our TP
$53.04price
$64.29mean
$42
$82

Wait for pullback to $51.00. At $53.04 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.00 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.83)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.0
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$26.8B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn15.9%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth-3.9%
Beta0.48
Dividend3.35%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$65+22.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -3.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Earnings Growth
3.6
Declining revenue: -4%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.8
Rsi
7.7
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.60Resistance $58.86

Price Targets

$48
$51
$56
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $51.00. At $53.04 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.00 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $55.93 (+5.4%), stop $47.84 (−10.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.93 (+5.5% upside). Target $55.93 (+5.4%), stop $47.84 (−10.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $47.84.

What are the risks of investing in TS?

Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is TS overvalued or undervalued?

Tenaris S.A. trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TS?

20 analysts cover TS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Tenaris S.A. do?Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for...

Tenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies steel pipe products and related services for the energy industry and other industrial applications in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It provides steel casings to sustain the walls of oil and gas wells during and after drilling; steel tubing for conducting crude oil and natural gas to the surface after drilling has been completed; steel line pipes to transport crude oil and natural gas from wells to refineries, storage tanks, and loading and distribution centers; and mechanical and structural pipes for the transportation of other forms of gas and liquids under high pressure. The company also offers cold-drawn pipes for use in boilers, superheaters, condensers, heat exchangers, automobile production, and other industrial applications; premium joints and couplings for use in high temperature or high pressure environments under the TenarisHydril brand name; coiled tubing is used for oil and gas drilling and well workovers and for subsea pipelines; sucker rods used in oil extraction activities, tubes used for plumbing and construction applications, and oilfield / hydraulic fracturing services; pipe coating services; and automotive components. In addition, it engages in the sale of energy and raw materials; development, management, and licensing of intellectual property; procurement and trading services; and financial operations, as well as markets steel products. Further, the company manufactures and markets connections; and welded and seamless steel pipes. Tenaris S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Tenaris S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.àr.l.

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