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TriMas Corporation (TRS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.80: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

TriMas Corporation engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of products for consumer products, aerospace and defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company operates through Packaging and Specialty Products segments. The Packaging segment offers... Read more

$36.80+3.9% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#16 of 16 Packaging & Containers
Stop $34.30Target $38.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$45.00+22.3%2 analysts
Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.80: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.5), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.07% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA32.6
Profit Mgn18.6%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth-31.8%
Beta0.60
Dividend0.44%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -31.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -32%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
5.7
Best-in-class margins

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.3
Roa
0.6
Fcf Quality
1.0
Roe
3.5
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.6
Net Margin
9.3
Strong margins: 19%Earnings quality RED FLAG: 12% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.19Resistance $39.33

Price Targets

$34
$38
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.5), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.07% of cap)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.80: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $34.30. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.25 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $34.30. Stop-loss: $34.30.

What are the risks of investing in TRS?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.5), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.07% of cap).

Is TRS overvalued or undervalued?

TriMas Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRS?

6 analysts cover TRS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $45.

What does TriMas Corporation do?TriMas Corporation engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of products for consumer products,...

TriMas Corporation engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of products for consumer products, aerospace and defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company operates through Packaging and Specialty Products segments. The Packaging segment offers dispensing products, such as foaming and sanitizer pumps, lotion and hand soap pumps, beverage dispensers, perfume sprayers, and nasal and trigger sprayers; polymeric and steel caps and closures comprising food lids, flip-top and beverage closures, child resistance caps, drum and pail closures, and flexible spouts; polymeric jar products; integrated dispensers; bag-in-box products; and consumable vascular delivery and diagnostic test components under the Rieke, Taplast, Affaba & Ferrari, Aarts Packaging, Intertech, Omega Plastics, and Rapak brands. The Specialty Products segment designs, manufactures, and distributes steel cylinders for use in transportation, storage, and dispensing of packaged and compressed gases under the Norris Cylinder brand. It sells its products through a direct sales force, third-party agents, and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.

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