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TRPTC Energy CorporationSell4.2·$68.17-0.12%
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TC Energy Corporation (TRP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.17 — A.R:R is negative (-4.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

TC Energy Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. It operates through four segments: Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines; U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines; Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines; and Power and Energy Solutions. The company... Read more

$68.17+2.7% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#41 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.38%
IncomeYield3.76%(5y avg 5.86%)Payout101.11%at-risk
Stop $65.19Target $70.04(resistance)A.R:R -4.5:1
Analyst target$62.13-8.9%3 analysts
$70.04our TP
$68.17price
$62.13mean
$57
$70

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.17 — A.R:R is negative (-4.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.1
P/E (Fwd)24.7
Mkt Cap$71.1B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn22.2%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.98
Dividend3.76%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C8.74bearish
IV36%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.3
Revenue Growth
4.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
3.9
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -4.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $65.47Resistance $71.47

Price Targets

$65
$70
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.5% upside)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.17 — A.R:R is negative (-4.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $65.19. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

What is the TRP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $70.04 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $65.19. Stop-loss: $65.19.

What are the risks of investing in TRP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

Is TRP overvalued or undervalued?

TC Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 24.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRP?

25 analysts cover TRP with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $62.

What does TC Energy Corporation do?TC Energy Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. It...

TC Energy Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. It operates through four segments: Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines; U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines; Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines; and Power and Energy Solutions. The company builds and operates a network of 94,171 kilometers of natural gas pipelines, which transports natural gas from supply basins to local distribution companies, power generation plants, industrial facilities, interconnecting pipelines, LNG export terminals, and other businesses. It also has regulated natural gas storage facilities with a total working gas capacity of 532 billion cubic feet. In addition, the company owns or has interests in power generation facilities with approximately 4,650 megawatts; and owns and operates approximately 118 billion cubic feet of non-regulated natural gas storage facilities in Alberta, Ontario, Québec, and New Brunswick. The company was formerly known as TransCanada Corporation and changed its name to TC Energy Corporation in May 2019. TC Energy Corporation was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: FRO (Frontline Plc) · VG (Venture Global, Inc.) · LNG (Cheniere Energy, Inc.) · KMI (Kinder Morgan, Inc.) · WES (Western Midstream Partners, LP)
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