Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Confectioners
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $41.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Tootsie Roll Industries manufactures and sells confectionery products under brands including Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Pops, Charms, Dots, and Junior Mints in a single segment for over 125 years. Products are sold through brokers and direct sales to wholesale distributors,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $41.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerMcLane, Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree36%10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's largest customers, McLane, Wal-Mart and Dollar Tree, accounted for approximately 36% of net product sales in 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $41.98 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.49. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $44.16 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $39.49. Stop-loss: $39.49.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward -21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
What does Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. do?Tootsie Roll Industries manufactures and sells confectionery products under brands including Tootsie Roll, Tootsie...
Tootsie Roll Industries manufactures and sells confectionery products under brands including Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Pops, Charms, Dots, and Junior Mints in a single segment for over 125 years. Products are sold through brokers and direct sales to wholesale distributors, supermarkets, and mass merchandisers primarily in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico.