Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (TPH) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.97: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Tri Pointe Homes is a national homebuilder operating in 17 markets across 12 states and DC, targeting first-time, move-up, luxury, and active-adult buyers with base prices $190K–3.2M. The company delivered 4,947 homes at an average $680K in 2025 and controlled 32,219 lots. In... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.97: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.
Latest news
- Tri Pointe Homes Q1 EPS $0.08 Misses $0.17 Estimate, Sales $507.896M Beat $495.667M Estimate — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 negative
- Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on Tri Pointe Homes, Raises Price Target to $47 — benzinga Apr 13, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -29.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.97: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $46.83. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $46.05 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $46.83. Stop-loss: $46.83.
Target reached (-14.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.4 (forward 22.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover TPH with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $47.
What does Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. do?Tri Pointe Homes is a national homebuilder operating in 17 markets across 12 states and DC, targeting first-time,...
Tri Pointe Homes is a national homebuilder operating in 17 markets across 12 states and DC, targeting first-time, move-up, luxury, and active-adult buyers with base prices $190K–3.2M. The company delivered 4,947 homes at an average $680K in 2025 and controlled 32,219 lots. In February 2026, Tri Pointe agreed to be acquired by Sumitomo Forestry at $47 per share.