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TMOThermo Fisher Scientific IncSell5.3·$506.42-1.29%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Thermo Fisher Scientific delivers a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with 15% net margins and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, but a confirmed death cross with falling on-balance volume and an elevated put/call ratio of 1.70 create a cautious near-term technical backdrop.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak MarginsStable
  • Death Cross Falling ObvStable
  • Analyst Upside AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Sell if holding. At $506.42, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Below 200-day MA.

Thermo Fisher Scientific serves pharma, biotech, academic, and government customers through four segments: Life Sciences Solutions, Analytical Instruments, Specialty Diagnostics, and Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services. Revenue comes from instruments, reagents,... Read more

$506.42+6.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#16 of 26 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.90%
IncomeYield0.37%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout9.68%sustainable
Stop $477.58Target $536.63(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$596.26+17.7%27 analysts
$536.63our TP
$506.42price
$596.26mean
$750

Sell if holding. At $506.42, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc

About Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc

Thermo Fisher Scientific operates through four business segments—Life Sciences Solutions, Analytical Instruments, Specialty Diagnostics, and Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services—serving pharmaceutical and biotech companies, hospitals, clinical diagnostic labs, universities, government agencies, and environmental and industrial markets worldwide. The company employed approximately 125,000 colleagues at December 31, 2025, with 59,000 in the Americas, 44,000 in EMEA, and 22,000 in the Asia-Pacific region, distributing products through an approximately 14,000-person direct sales force plus electronic commerce and third-party distributors.

Life Sciences Solutions provides biosciences, genetic sciences, and bioproduction products to pharmaceutical and biotech research markets. Analytical Instruments covers chromatography and mass spectrometry, chemical analysis, and electron microscopy tools sold into pharmaceutical, environmental, semiconductor, and academic markets. Specialty Diagnostics serves clinical laboratories with diagnostic kits, immunodiagnostics reagents, microbiology culture media, and transplant diagnostics. Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services—which includes the Patheon pharma services brand and the PPD clinical research brand—bundles consumables and equipment procurement with outsourced drug development, manufacturing, and Phase I through Phase IV clinical trials. Revenue is historically stronger in the fourth quarter due to capital spending patterns among industrial, pharmaceutical, and government customers. The company's raw-materials policy states that no single supplier is material, though certain components may be sourced from sole or limited suppliers for quality assurance or regulatory requirements.

Show full overview

Thermo Fisher carries active environmental remediation obligations at two named Superfund sites: the Fair Lawn Wellfields site in New Jersey, where the company entered a consent decree with the USEPA in 2020 to finance a groundwater treatment plant that was constructed in 2025 and transferred to the Borough of Fair Lawn in January 2026; and the former Davis Landfill site in Smithfield, Rhode Island, governed by a 2021 consent decree amendment calling for an interim remedy expected to commence in 2026. Accrued environmental liabilities totaled $86 million at December 31, 2025, and the company acknowledges that future regulatory changes could increase remediation scope and cost.

See also: Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

From Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.0%
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.2
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$190.7B
EV/EBITDA20.4
Profit Mgn15.2%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta0.87
Dividend0.37%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.37bearish
IV40%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.6
52w Position
5.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
6.3
Quality Rank
6.7
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $457.64Resistance $515.96

Price Targets

$478
$537
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TMO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $506.42, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $477.58. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TMO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $536.63 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $477.58. Stop-loss: $477.58.

What are the risks of investing in TMO?

Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Below 200-day MA.

Is TMO overvalued or undervalued?

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc trades at a P/E of 28.2 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TMO?

34 analysts cover TMO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $596.

What does Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc do?Thermo Fisher Scientific serves pharma, biotech, academic, and government customers through four segments: Life...

Thermo Fisher Scientific serves pharma, biotech, academic, and government customers through four segments: Life Sciences Solutions, Analytical Instruments, Specialty Diagnostics, and Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services. Revenue comes from instruments, reagents, consumables, and outsourced drug manufacturing (Patheon/PPD), sold through ~14,000 direct sales staff plus distributors. The company employs approximately 125,000 globally.

Related stocks: A (Agilent Technologies, Inc.) · WAT (Waters Corporation) · LH (Labcorp Holdings Inc.) · DGX (Quest Diagnostics Incorporated) · IQV (IQVIA Holdings, Inc.)
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