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DHRDanaher CorporationSell5.5·$193.62-2.18%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Danaher's unbroken four-quarter earnings beat streak and 124% free-cash-flow conversion attest to strong fundamental quality; the stock is just below its analyst-derived target with approximately 20% upside and a 3.25-to-1 risk/reward, though the confirmed long-term downtrend below the 200-day moving average and an RSI at overbought levels warrant caution about near-term entry timing.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Four Quarter Beat StreakStable
  • Exceptional Fcf Conversion QualityStable
  • Confirmed Long Term DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Danaher Corporation (DHR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Sell if holding. At $193.62, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth.

Danaher develops instruments, consumables, and services for the biotechnology, life sciences, and diagnostics sectors across approximately 50 countries, organized in three segments under those names. Revenue skews toward recurring consumables and services, with approximately 59%... Read more

$193.62+12.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 32 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.26%
IncomeYield0.81%(5y avg 0.44%)Payout26.36%sustainable
Stop $182.74Target $218.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$242.35+25.2%23 analysts
$218.11our TP
$193.62price
$242.35mean
$310

Sell if holding. At $193.62, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.3
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$140.1B
EV/EBITDA19.4
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE7.1%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.82
Dividend0.81%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
4.1
Quality Rank
6.5

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.4
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $173.86Resistance $198.23

Price Targets

$183
$218
A.Upside+12.6%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $193.62, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $182.74. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $218.11 (+12.6% upside). Prior stop was $182.74. Stop-loss: $182.74.

What are the risks of investing in DHR?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DHR overvalued or undervalued?

Danaher Corporation trades at a P/E of 38.3 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DHR?

30 analysts cover DHR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $242.

What does Danaher Corporation do?Danaher develops instruments, consumables, and services for the biotechnology, life sciences, and diagnostics sectors...

Danaher develops instruments, consumables, and services for the biotechnology, life sciences, and diagnostics sectors across approximately 50 countries, organized in three segments under those names. Revenue skews toward recurring consumables and services, with approximately 59% of 2025 sales from non-US customers; the company employs approximately 60,000 people across more than 15 operating companies.

Related stocks: A (Agilent Technologies, Inc.) · WAT (Waters Corporation) · MEDP (Medpace Holdings, Inc.) · LH (Labcorp Holdings Inc.) · IDXX (IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.)
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