Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.14: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.14: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -17.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.14: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $13.15. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.46 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $13.15. Stop-loss: $13.15.
Target reached (-27.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
Ecopetrol S.A. trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover EC with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $12.
What does Ecopetrol S.A. do?Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production;...
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies electric power transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, rest of South America and others, Asia, the United States, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.