Value
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.7 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 20.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.14
TFPM · Why this verdict
Why Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor (TFPM) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.3 |
| ROA | 5.6 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.7 |
| FCF quality | 1.3 |
| Moat | 8.4 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong margins: 69%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 16% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 79% YoY
Momentum
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.7 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 5.2 |
| Volume | 4.6 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.0 |
| Analyst rating | 6.3 |
| Price target | 8.9 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.40 (n=2)
- ▸Light analyst coverage (4.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 35%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.1 |
| quality rank | 7.2 |
| growth rank | 1.4 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.4 |
| support resistance | 3.5 |
| 52w position | 4.6 |
| gap | 3.0 |
- ▸Extreme gap up (5.8%) - may pull back
Risk (lower is worse)
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 8.6 |
| volatility | 1.2 |
| put call | 6.7 |
| implied vol | 0.7 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 9.7 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸High IV: 76%
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.4 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 79.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.1x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP->V9:POOR_ASYMMETRY|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:2/3
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:1.1<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.15
Upside
+14.5%
Downside
12.6%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 7.7 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 1.15 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 7.7, and Sentiment at 7.3; the weakest are Technical at 3.9, Peer rank at 4.8, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.15 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.