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SWIMLatham Group, Inc.Sell5.4·$6.14-5.39%
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Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.14: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Latham Group, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets in-ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers in-ground swimming pools, including fiberglass and packaged pools; and covers, such as automatic safety and all-season pool... Read more

$6.14+15.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.90%
Stop $5.71Target $7.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$8.14+32.6%7 analysts
$7.08our TP
$6.14price
$8.14mean
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.14: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)87.7
P/E (Fwd)22.7
Mkt Cap$721M
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE2.2%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta1.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV145%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
4.1
Growth Rank
4.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
3.1
52w Position
3.7
Support Resistance
3.9
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.23Resistance $6.71

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+15.3%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SWIM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.14: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $5.71. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SWIM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.08 (+15.3% upside). Prior stop was $5.71. Stop-loss: $5.71.

What are the risks of investing in SWIM?

Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is SWIM overvalued or undervalued?

Latham Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 87.7 (forward 22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SWIM?

14 analysts cover SWIM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Latham Group, Inc. do?Latham Group, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets in-ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia,...

Latham Group, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets in-ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers in-ground swimming pools, including fiberglass and packaged pools; and covers, such as automatic safety and all-season pool covers; and liners. It sells its products directly to dealers and distributors who warehouse the products and sell to dealers under the Latham, The Pool Company brand name, as well as sub-brands comprising Narellan, CoverStar, Radiant, and GLI brands. The company was formerly known as Latham Topco, Inc. and changed its name to Latham Group, Inc. in March 2021. Latham Group, Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Latham, New York.

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