Skip to main content
STTState Street CorporationHold6.4·$180.13
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

State Street has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with a 4.5% average surprise, but trades above its analyst price target with a put/call ratio of 7.97 signaling unusually heavy bearish options activity, and revenue declined 3% year-over-year, clouding the near-term outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency↑Improving
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio↑Improving
  • Revenue Decline Quality Concerns→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

State Street Corporation (STT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $180.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to institutional investors globally through two lines of business. Revenue is generated from custody, fund administration, foreign exchange, and asset management... Read more

$180.13-3.6% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#24 of 236 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.05%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout29.66%sustainable
Stop $171.65Target $191.49(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$199.50+10.8%14 analysts
$191.49our TP
$180.13price
$199.50mean
$150
$215

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $180.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 14, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$49.7B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta1.42
Dividend2.05%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$150-16.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAmericas
    10-K Item 1: 'we serviced AUC/A of approximately $53.80 trillion, comprising approximately $37.42 trillion in the Americas'
  • LOWProductinvestment securities portfolio17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The gross interest income associated with our investment portfolio represented approximately 17% of our total gross revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    State Street appointed C. Jack Read as EVP, Global Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective August 10, 2026, succeeding Elizabeth M. Schaefer. Read previously served as Global Controller at MSCI Inc. since August 2024.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    Board elected Susan Gordon as independent director on March 19, 2026, appointing her to the Examining and Audit Committee and Technology and Operations Committee. Routine board appointment; no departures disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVENEWS LEGALExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
21 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $176.96Resistance $195.40

Price Targets

$172
$191
A.Upside-3.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-14 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $180.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $191.49 (+6.3%), stop $171.65 (−4.9%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $191.49 (-3.6% upside). Target $191.49 (+6.3%), stop $171.65 (−4.9%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $171.65.

What are the risks of investing in STT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is STT overvalued or undervalued?

State Street Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STT?

21 analysts cover STT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $200.

What does State Street Corporation do?State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to...

State Street Corporation provides investment servicing, markets and financing solutions, and investment management to institutional investors globally through two lines of business. Revenue is generated from custody, fund administration, foreign exchange, and asset management fees, with $53.80 trillion in assets under custody and administration and $5.67 trillion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, served by approximately 52,000 employees.

Related stocks: HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) · AMG (Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.) · BX (Blackstone Inc.) · VCTR (Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ) · RJF (Raymond James Financial, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › STT

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga9h agoCONCERN
Benzinga1d agoCONCERN
Benzinga7d agoCONCERNLegal
Yahoo Finance73d ago
MarketBeat164d ago
MarketBeat164d ago
Business Wire73d ago
MarketBeat73d ago
MarketBeat74d ago
TradingView71d ago
Seeking Alpha71d agoEarnings
StockStory71d agoEarnings
TradingView71d agoEarnings
GuruFocus71d ago
Seeking Alpha71d ago
Quiver Quantitative71d agoEarnings
CNN162d ago
The Globe and Mail163d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance166d agoProduct
Bitget166d ago
Loading more...