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StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.49: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

StepStone Group is a global private markets investment firm managing approximately $709B in total capital ($189B AUM, $520B AUA) across private equity, infrastructure, private debt, and real estate via separately managed accounts, commingled funds, and advisory services. The... Read more

$51.49+21.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#48 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $47.53Target $62.10(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$71.38+38.6%8 analysts
$62.10our TP
$51.49price
$71.38mean
$91

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.49: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.4
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA-5.2
Profit Mgn-30.7%
ROE-65.1%
Rev Growth73.0%
Beta1.31
Dividend2.90%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$35-32.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
3.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Unprofitable operations — net margin -30.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
2.7
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.99Resistance $57.79

Price Targets

$48
$62
A.Upside+20.6%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STEP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.49: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $47.53. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STEP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.10 (+21.5% upside). Prior stop was $47.53. Stop-loss: $47.53.

What are the risks of investing in STEP?

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is STEP overvalued or undervalued?

StepStone Group Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STEP?

14 analysts cover STEP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does StepStone Group Inc. do?StepStone Group is a global private markets investment firm managing approximately $709B in total capital ($189B AUM,...

StepStone Group is a global private markets investment firm managing approximately $709B in total capital ($189B AUM, $520B AUA) across private equity, infrastructure, private debt, and real estate via separately managed accounts, commingled funds, and advisory services. The firm serves pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurance companies, endowments, and high-net-worth investors.

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