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Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $135.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Sphere Entertainment operates two segments: Sphere (a 20,000-capacity immersive venue in Las Vegas opened September 2023 featuring a 16K LED interior display, Sphere Immersive Sound, and 4D effects) and MSG Networks (two NY-area regional sports TV networks plus MSG+ streaming... Read more

$135.33+3.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.55%
Stop $125.86Target $140.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$161.00+19.0%12 analysts
$140.07our TP
$135.33price
$161.00mean
$125
$190

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $135.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Sphere Entertainment Co.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.5%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.3
P/E (Fwd)-112.2
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA19.4
Profit Mgn8.6%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth37.7%
Beta1.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $124.11Resistance $149.00

Price Targets

$126
$140
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPHR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $135.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $140.07 (+3.5%), stop $125.86 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $140.07 (+3.5% upside). Target $140.07 (+3.5%), stop $125.86 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $125.86.

What are the risks of investing in SPHR?

Thin upside margin: 3.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is SPHR overvalued or undervalued?

Sphere Entertainment Co. trades at a P/E of 46.3 (forward -112.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPHR?

18 analysts cover SPHR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $161.

What does Sphere Entertainment Co. do?Sphere Entertainment operates two segments: Sphere (a 20,000-capacity immersive venue in Las Vegas opened September...

Sphere Entertainment operates two segments: Sphere (a 20,000-capacity immersive venue in Las Vegas opened September 2023 featuring a 16K LED interior display, Sphere Immersive Sound, and 4D effects) and MSG Networks (two NY-area regional sports TV networks plus MSG+ streaming for Knicks, Rangers, Islanders, Devils, and Sabres). Revenue comes from ticket sales, Exosphere advertising, affiliation fees from TV distributors, and marquee brand events.

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