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Sony Group Corporation (SONY) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.82: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Sony Group Corporation designs, develops, produces, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for the consumer, professional, and industrial markets in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company distributes software... Read more

$19.82+22.4% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#3 of 4 Consumer Electronics
Stop $19.03Target $24.26(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$28.54+44.0%4 analysts
$24.26our TP
$19.82price
$28.54mean
$33

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.82: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.2
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$116.9B
EV/EBITDA0.0
Profit Mgn-1.6%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth0.5%
Beta0.75
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$11-44.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.9
Roa
2.6
Current Ratio
4.7
Roe
5.0
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
5.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.62Resistance $22.05

Price Targets

$19
$24
A.Upside+22.4%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SONY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.82: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $19.03. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SONY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.26 (+22.4% upside). Prior stop was $19.03. Stop-loss: $19.03.

What are the risks of investing in SONY?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is SONY overvalued or undervalued?

Sony Group Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SONY?

31 analysts cover SONY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Sony Group Corporation do?Sony Group Corporation designs, develops, produces, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for the...

Sony Group Corporation designs, develops, produces, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for the consumer, professional, and industrial markets in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company distributes software titles and add-on content through digital networks; network services related to game, video, and music content; hardware and home gaming consoles, packaged and game software, and peripheral devices. It also develops, produces, markets, and distributes recorded music; publishes music; and produces and distributes animation titles, game applications, and various services for music and visual products. In addition, the company produces, acquires, and distributes live-action and animated motion pictures for theatrical release, as well as scripted and animated series, unscripted reality or light entertainment, daytime serials, game shows, television movies, and miniseries and other television programs; operation of television networks and direct-to-consumer streaming services; operates a visual effects and animation unit; and manages a studio facility. Further, the company researches, develops, designs, produces, markets, distributes, sells, and services televisions, and video and sound products; interchangeable lens, as well as compact digital, and consumer and professional video cameras; projectors and medical equipment; mobile phones, accessories, and applications; and metal oxide semiconductor image sensors, integration systems, and other semiconductors. Additionally, it offers internet broadband network services; recording media, and storage media products; and life and non-life insurance, banking, and other services, as well as creates and distributes content for PCs and mobile phones. The company has a strategic partnership with TCL Electronics Holdings Limited. The company was formerly known as Sony Corporation and changed its name to Sony Group Corporation in April 2021. Sony Group Corporation was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

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