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SMWBSimilarweb Ltd.Sell5.5·$6.18-6.22%
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Similarweb Ltd. (SMWB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.18: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Similarweb Ltd. provides digital data and analytics for power critical business decisions in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the United Kingdom, Israel, and internationally. The company offers web intelligence solutions for its customers to benchmark performance... Read more

$6.18+7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#77 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield4.64%
Stop $5.75Target $6.64(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$5.00-19.1%5 analysts
$6.64our TP
$6.18price
$5.00mean
$3
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.18: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-29.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -5.2%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)26.3
Mkt Cap$541M
EV/EBITDA-44.0
Profit Mgn-10.4%
ROE-134.1%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV107%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
1.5
Support Resistance
2.1
Gap
6.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
3.1
Value Rank
7.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -10.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
2.9
Rule Of 40
3.0
Fcf Quality
5.2
Piotroski F
5.6
Moat
5.8
Gross Margin
10.0
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 9%, FCF yield 4.6%)Rule of 40: 19 (fail)
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.95Resistance $6.78

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -5.2%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMWB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.18: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $5.75. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SMWB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.64 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $5.75. Stop-loss: $5.75.

What are the risks of investing in SMWB?

Target reached (-29.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -5.2%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap).

Is SMWB overvalued or undervalued?

Similarweb Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SMWB?

15 analysts cover SMWB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Similarweb Ltd. do?Similarweb Ltd. provides digital data and analytics for power critical business decisions in the United States, Europe,...

Similarweb Ltd. provides digital data and analytics for power critical business decisions in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the United Kingdom, Israel, and internationally. The company offers web intelligence solutions for its customers to benchmark performance against competitors, analyze trends in the market, conduct deeper research into specific companies, and analyze audience behavior; and solutions for its customers to understand their competitors' digital acquisition strategies on various marketing channel, and optimize their own strategies. It also provides app intelligence that allows its customers to identify trends and monitor usage and performance for mobile apps, as well as to benchmark performance against competitors across the funnel from app store downloads to usage and stickiness; sales intelligence solutions for its customers to access relevant buying signals and digital insights of their customers to generate leads quickly; and retail intelligence solutions to analyze a view of their customers' digital journeys, monitor consumer demand, increase brand visibility in the search process, and optimize category and product level conversion in the purchase process. In addition, the company offers stock intelligence solutions for its customers to access an end-to-end view of market, sector, or company performance to ideate and monitor investment opportunities; forecast market performance; and perform due diligence. Further, it provides data-as-a-service, bespoke data set, and advisory services. The company serves retail, consumer packaged goods, consumer finance, consultancies, marketing and advertising agencies, media and publishers, business-to-business software, payment processors, travel, and institutional investors, as well as luxury and premium consumer brands. Similarweb Ltd. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Givatayim, Israel.

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