The business demonstrates exceptional quality—a wide economic moat, 34% return on equity, 42% operating margins, and a Piotroski F-score of 8 out of 9—paired with 32% revenue growth and roughly 30% upside to the analyst price target; the primary near-term overhangs are weak price momentum and a free cash flow conversion shortfall that deserve monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Geographic Concentration Overhang↓Deteriorating
- High Quality Franchise Wide Moat→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days
Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma.
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Gulfport Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Gulfport Energy (GPOR) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS GPOR Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 359.13M USD - TradingView — TradingView Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS How Investors May Respond To Gulfport Energy Stock Ahead Of Earnings Report - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 2 Reasons to Watch GPOR and 1 to Stay Cautious - StockStory — StockStory Sep 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 2 Reasons to Watch GPOR and 1 to Stay Cautious - stockstory.org — stockstory.org Sep 29, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUtica/Marcellus81%10-K Item 1: 'we produced approximately 841 MMcfe per day net to our interests in Utica/Marcellus and it accounted for approximately 81% of our total production.'
- HIGHGeographiceastern Ohio and central Oklahoma10-K Item 1A: 'All of our producing properties are located in eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in only these regions.'
- MEDIUMCommoditynatural gas10-K Item 1: 'Gulfport is an independent natural gas-weighted exploration and production company with assets primarily located in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMOn May 28, 2026, Domenic J. Dell'Osso, Jr. appointed President and CEO of Gulfport Energy, effective May 28, 2026. Previously CEO of Expand Energy Corp (formerly Chesapeake Energy) 2021–Feb 2026. Board expanded to 7 members; Dell'Osso joined through 2027 Annual Meeting. RSU grant also approved for SVP of Reservoir Engineering ($222,500).SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -16.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $186.85 (+12.2%), stop $156.38 (−6.5%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $186.85 (+12.2% upside). Analyst target $186.85 (+12.2%), stop $156.38 (−6.5%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $156.38.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Weak growth.
Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.
22 analysts rate GPOR, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $215.
What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81%...
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6 billion, supported by a 2026 capital program of $400-$430 million targeting approximately 1.030-1.055 Bcfe per day.