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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy Now (conditional)VALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Conditional: momentum 5.9/10 (below 6.0 threshold) — below strong-conviction threshold. Size accordingly.

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Buy at $187.12 (limit $186.78). A.R:R 2.1:1 at $187.12 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $210.46 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$23 per share to target. Key risk: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%).

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio (81% of 2025 production) and SCOOP in central Oklahoma (19%); 4.3 Tcfe proved reserves with $3.6B PV-10 at year-end 2025. Free cash flow funded $336.3M in share... Read more

$187.12+12.7% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#2 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.36%
Entry $186.78(at market)Stop $175.32Target $210.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$241.91+29.3%11 analysts
$210.46our TP
$187.12price
$241.91mean
$272

Buy at $187.12 (limit $186.78). A.R:R 2.1:1 at $187.12 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $210.46 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$23 per share to target. Key risk: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Deep value: 59% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.5Qual7.8Grw10.0Mom5.9Sent7.0Ins3.0Peer5.9Tech5.4Risk6.87.1OVERALL

Recent Developments — Gulfport Energy Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.2
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA3.7
Profit Mgn42.1%
ROE34.0%
Rev Growth32.3%
Beta0.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUtica/Marcellus81%
    10-K Item 1: 'we produced approximately 841 MMcfe per day net to our interests in Utica/Marcellus and it accounted for approximately 81% of our total production'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02HIGH
    John Reinhart resigned as President, CEO and Director effective March 6, 2026. No permanent CEO named; Office of the Chairman created under Board Chair Timothy Cutt as interim leadership; executive search firm retained.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $175.49Resistance $197.61

Price Targets

$175
$187
$210
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R2.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2.2%
Max %4.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts21
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$242

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPOR stock a buy right now?

Buy at $187.12 (limit $186.78). A.R:R 2.1:1 at $187.12 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $210.46 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$23 per share to target. Key risk: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Deep value: 59% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. Target $210.46 (+12.5%), stop $175.32 (−6.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

What is the GPOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $210.46 (+12.7% upside). Target $210.46 (+12.5%), stop $175.32 (−6.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $175.32.

What are the risks of investing in GPOR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%).

Is GPOR overvalued or undervalued?

Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.2 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Strong Buy.

What do analysts say about GPOR?

21 analysts cover GPOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $242.

What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio...

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio (81% of 2025 production) and SCOOP in central Oklahoma (19%); 4.3 Tcfe proved reserves with $3.6B PV-10 at year-end 2025. Free cash flow funded $336.3M in share repurchases in 2025; 2026 production guidance of 1.030-1.055 Bcfe/day.

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