The business demonstrates exceptional quality—a wide economic moat, 34% return on equity, 42% operating margins, and a Piotroski F-score of 8 out of 9—paired with 32% revenue growth and roughly 30% upside to the analyst price target; the primary near-term overhangs are weak price momentum and a free cash flow conversion shortfall that deserve monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Geographic Concentration Overhang↑Improving
- High Quality Franchise Wide Moat→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma.
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — Gulfport Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS GPOR|Gulfport Energy Corp|Price:156.795|Chg%:+3.395 - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
- NEWS Gulfport Energy Corp (GPOR) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
- NEWS GPOR|Gulfport Energy Corp|Price:156.795|Chg%:+3.395 - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com positive
- NEWS Gulfport Energy Corp (GPOR) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS William Blair Maintains Gulfport Energy(GPOR.US) With Buy Rating - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 positive
Generated 2026-08-16T12:27:03Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUtica/Marcellus81%10-K Item 1: 'we produced approximately 841 MMcfe per day net to our interests in Utica/Marcellus and it accounted for approximately 81% of our total production.'
- HIGHGeographiceastern Ohio and central Oklahoma10-K Item 1A: 'All of our producing properties are located in eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in only these regions.'
- MEDIUMCommoditynatural gas10-K Item 1: 'Gulfport is an independent natural gas-weighted exploration and production company with assets primarily located in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMOn May 28, 2026, Domenic J. Dell'Osso, Jr. appointed President and CEO of Gulfport Energy, effective May 28, 2026. Previously CEO of Expand Energy Corp (formerly Chesapeake Energy) 2021–Feb 2026. Board expanded to 7 members; Dell'Osso joined through 2027 Annual Meeting. RSU grant also approved for SVP of Reservoir Engineering ($222,500).SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -16.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $170.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $197.71 (+16.3%), stop $159.41 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $197.71 (+16.3% upside). Target $197.71 (+16.3%), stop $159.41 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $159.41.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Weak growth.
Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
19 analysts cover GPOR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $227.
What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81%...
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6 billion, supported by a 2026 capital program of $400-$430 million targeting approximately 1.030-1.055 Bcfe per day.