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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $192.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Thin upside margin: 9.9%.

Gulfport Energy is a natural gas-weighted independent E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus (eastern Ohio, 81% of 2025 production) and SCOOP (central Oklahoma, 19%) basins. The company holds 4.3 Tcfe of proved reserves with a PV-10 of $3.6 billion and targets free cash... Read more

$192.84+9.8% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#2 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
Stop $180.32Target $211.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$243.50+26.3%12 analysts
$211.84our TP
$192.84price
$243.50mean
$287

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $192.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Thin upside margin: 9.9%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma
Thin upside margin: 9.9%
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)6.4
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA4.8
Profit Mgn32.9%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth25.2%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.58bearish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographiceastern Ohio and central Oklahoma
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our producing properties are located in eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in only these regions.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02HIGH
    CEO John Reinhart resigned as President, CEO and Director effective March 6, 2026. No disagreement. Office of the Chairman created with Timothy Cutt leading; executive search firm retained for permanent CEO. No permanent successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $182.59Resistance $215.44

Price Targets

$180
$212
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPOR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $192.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Thin upside margin: 9.9%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $211.84 (+9.9%), stop $180.32 (−6.9%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $211.84 (+9.8% upside). Target $211.84 (+9.9%), stop $180.32 (−6.9%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $180.32.

What are the risks of investing in GPOR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Thin upside margin: 9.9%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is GPOR overvalued or undervalued?

Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GPOR?

22 analysts cover GPOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $244.

What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is a natural gas-weighted independent E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus (eastern Ohio, 81%...

Gulfport Energy is a natural gas-weighted independent E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus (eastern Ohio, 81% of 2025 production) and SCOOP (central Oklahoma, 19%) basins. The company holds 4.3 Tcfe of proved reserves with a PV-10 of $3.6 billion and targets free cash flow generation.

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