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EQT Corporation (EQT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $55.96. BUY gates pass at $58.21, but concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin and concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $55.96 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas company with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations focused in the Appalachian Basin. It produced 2,382 Bcfe in 2025 at $3.19/Mcfe average realized price, generating $5.1B operating cash flow; 93% of proved... Read more

$58.21+11.1% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#4 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.70%
IncomeYield1.10%(5y avg 0.49%)Payout12.24%sustainable
Entry $55.96(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $53.02Target $63.00(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$70.00+20.3%24 analysts
$63.00our TP
$58.21price
$70.00mean
$83

Wait for pullback to $55.96. BUY gates pass at $58.21, but concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin and concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $55.96 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Strong overall profile with balanced scores. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Val7.0Qual7.5Grw10.0Mom6.5Sent6.8Ins5.0Peer5.2Tech5.3Risk7.97.1OVERALL

Recent Developments — EQT Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin
Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.2%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.3
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$37.4B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth49.9%
Beta0.59
Dividend1.10%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAppalachian Basin
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our assets and operations are located in the Appalachian Basin.'
  • HIGHGeographicMarcellus Shale93%
    10-K Item 1: '91% of our total proved developed reserves, over 99% of our total proved undeveloped reserves and 93% of our total proved reserves are located in the Marcellus Shale.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    EQT shareholders approved the Third Amendment to the 2020 Long-Term Incentive Plan at the April 14, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing authorized shares by 34 million and extending the term to 2036. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.11Resistance $60.62

Price Targets

$53
$56
$63
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R1.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: MID-cap BUY_NOW needs quality>=8.5 or MoS>=50%

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $55.96. BUY gates pass at $58.21, but concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin and concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $55.96 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Strong overall profile with balanced scores. Target $63.00 (+8.2%), stop $53.02 (−9.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

What is the EQT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.00 (+11.1% upside). Target $63.00 (+8.2%), stop $53.02 (−9.8%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $53.02.

What are the risks of investing in EQT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.2%.

Is EQT overvalued or undervalued?

EQT Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EQT?

30 analysts cover EQT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does EQT Corporation do?EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas company with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations...

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas company with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations focused in the Appalachian Basin. It produced 2,382 Bcfe in 2025 at $3.19/Mcfe average realized price, generating $5.1B operating cash flow; 93% of proved reserves are in the Marcellus Shale.

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