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EQT Corporation (EQT) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $57.19. At $60.64 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $57.19 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas and NGLs; Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin.

EQT Corporation is the only large-scale integrated natural gas producer in the U.S., operating upstream, gathering and transmission segments in the Appalachian Basin with 28.0 Tcfe proved reserves and ~2,945 miles of pipeline as of December 31, 2025. In 2025, sales volume was... Read more

$60.64+10.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#3 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
Entry $57.19(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $53.86Target $63.32(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$70.36+16.0%25 analysts
$63.32our TP
$60.64price
$70.36mean
$57
$83

Wait for pullback to $57.19. At $60.64 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $57.19 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas and NGLs; Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.8Qual7.1Grw10.0Mom4.7Sent6.9Ins5.0Peer5.0Tech3.9Risk7.36.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.56)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas and NGLs
Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin
Thin upside margin: 4.5%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$37.0B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth49.9%
Beta0.69
Dividend1.12%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas and NGLs
    10-K Item 1A: 'our primary product and source of revenue is the gathering, transmission and sale of natural gas and NGLs'
  • HIGHGeographicAppalachian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'the majority of our assets, physical infrastructure and midstream customers are also located in the Appalachian Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating primarily in one major geographic area'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved April 14, 2026 amendment to EQT 2020 Long-Term Incentive Plan: added 34M shares, eliminated assumed Equitrans equity pool, extended plan term to 2036. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02LOW
    EQT Compensation Committee approved 2026 Short-Term Incentive Plan on February 4, 2026, providing annual bonus to executives based on free cash flow/share, capex, cash costs, ESG intensity and production metrics. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.3
Support Resistance
2.6
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.26Resistance $62.17

Price Targets

$54
$57
$63
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $57.19. At $60.64 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $57.19 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas and NGLs; Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $63.32 (+4.4%), stop $53.86 (−12.6%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.32 (+10.0% upside). Target $63.32 (+4.4%), stop $53.86 (−12.6%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $53.86.

What are the risks of investing in EQT?

Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas and NGLs; Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Thin upside margin: 4.5%.

Is EQT overvalued or undervalued?

EQT Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EQT?

32 analysts cover EQT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $70.

What does EQT Corporation do?EQT Corporation is the only large-scale integrated natural gas producer in the U.S., operating upstream, gathering and...

EQT Corporation is the only large-scale integrated natural gas producer in the U.S., operating upstream, gathering and transmission segments in the Appalachian Basin with 28.0 Tcfe proved reserves and ~2,945 miles of pipeline as of December 31, 2025. In 2025, sales volume was 2,382 Bcfe at $3.19/Mcfe average realized price, generating $5.1B operating cash flow.

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