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EQTEQT CorporationBuy Wait7.1·$51.82-1.50%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

EQT is an attractively valued natural gas producer with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 35% margins, a wide economic moat, and roughly 24% headroom to the analyst price target at a better than 7-to-1 favorable risk/reward; the principal near-term concern is that price momentum has fallen well below the minimum threshold — the stock sits beneath its 200-day moving average at near-capitulation RSI levels — while concentrated Appalachian Basin exposure adds structural sensitivity to regional price differentials and regulatory conditions.

Thesis pillars

  • Appalachian Basin ConcentrationStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Compelling Valuation Risk RewardStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EQT Corporation (EQT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $50.88. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $51.82. Engine's entry $50.88 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%).

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas producer with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, holding 28.0 Tcfe of proved reserves across 2.3 million gross acres. The company generated $8.6 billion in revenue in 2025... Read more

$51.82+22.5% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#4 of 48 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.61%
IncomeYield1.25%(5y avg 0.49%)Payout12.24%sustainable
Entry $50.88(support + ATR)Stop $48.74Target $62.32(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$69.24+33.6%25 analysts
$62.32our TP
$51.82price
$69.24mean
$83

Wait for pullback to $50.88. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $51.82. Engine's entry $50.88 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin
Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$32.9B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth49.9%
Beta0.55
Dividend1.25%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C3.04bearish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAppalachian Basin
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our assets and operations are located in the Appalachian Basin'
  • HIGHGeographicMarcellus Shale93%
    10-K Item 1: '93% of our total proved reserves are located in the Marcellus Shale'
  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas
    10-K Item 1: 'Our revenues, earnings and liquidity are substantially dependent on the prices we receive for, and our ability to develop our reserves of, natural gas, NGLs and oil, which are also largely dependent on natural gas prices'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved at the April 14, 2026 Annual Meeting an amendment to the 2020 Long-Term Incentive Plan increasing authorized shares by 34,000,000, eliminating an assumed share pool, and extending the plan term from 2030 to 2036. No officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.25Resistance $55.51

Price Targets

$49
$51
$62
A.Upside+20.3%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.7%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $50.88. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $51.82. Engine's entry $50.88 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $62.32 (+20.3%), stop $48.74 (−6.3%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.32 (+22.5% upside). Target $62.32 (+20.3%), stop $48.74 (−6.3%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Stop-loss: $48.74.

What are the risks of investing in EQT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%).

Is EQT overvalued or undervalued?

EQT Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EQT?

30 analysts cover EQT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $69.

What does EQT Corporation do?EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas producer with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations...

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas producer with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, holding 28.0 Tcfe of proved reserves across 2.3 million gross acres. The company generated $8.6 billion in revenue in 2025 and achieved 2,382 Bcfe in sales volume at an average realized price of $3.19 per Mcfe.

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