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EQTEQT CorporationHold6.8·$51.37+1.22%
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EQT Corporation (EQT) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%).

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas producer with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, holding 28.0 Tcfe of proved reserves across 2.3 million gross acres. The company generated $8.6 billion in revenue in 2025... Read more

$51.37+22.7% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#5 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.89%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 0.49%)Payout12.24%sustainable
Stop $48.87Target $63.04(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$70.04+36.3%24 analysts
$63.04our TP
$51.37price
$70.04mean
$83

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin
Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.6
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$31.7B
EV/EBITDA5.4
Profit Mgn35.1%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth49.9%
Beta0.54
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$90+75.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAppalachian Basin
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our assets and operations are located in the Appalachian Basin'
  • HIGHGeographicMarcellus Shale93%
    10-K Item 1: '93% of our total proved reserves are located in the Marcellus Shale'
  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas
    10-K Item 1: 'Our revenues, earnings and liquidity are substantially dependent on the prices we receive for, and our ability to develop our reserves of, natural gas, NGLs and oil, which are also largely dependent on natural gas prices'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved at the April 14, 2026 Annual Meeting an amendment to the 2020 Long-Term Incentive Plan increasing authorized shares by 34,000,000, eliminating an assumed share pool, and extending the plan term from 2030 to 2036. No officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.8
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.25Resistance $59.80

Price Targets

$49
$63
A.Upside+22.7%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $63.04 (+22.7%), stop $48.87 (−5.1%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.04 (+22.7% upside). Target $63.04 (+22.7%), stop $48.87 (−5.1%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Stop-loss: $48.87.

What are the risks of investing in EQT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Appalachian Basin; Concentration risk — Geographic: Marcellus Shale (93.0%); Negative momentum.

Is EQT overvalued or undervalued?

EQT Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EQT?

29 analysts cover EQT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does EQT Corporation do?EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas producer with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations...

EQT Corporation is a vertically integrated natural gas producer with upstream, gathering, and transmission operations concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, holding 28.0 Tcfe of proved reserves across 2.3 million gross acres. The company generated $8.6 billion in revenue in 2025 and achieved 2,382 Bcfe in sales volume at an average realized price of $3.19 per Mcfe.

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