Sherwin-Williams Company (The) (SHW) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. At $322.50, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or single-sources of supply.
Sherwin-Williams develops, manufactures, and sells paint, coatings, and related products through three segments: Paint Stores Group (4,853 specialty stores in US/Canada/Caribbean), Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. Revenue comes from professional... Read more
Sell if holding. At $322.50, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or single-sources of supply. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierlimited or single-sources of supply10-K Item 1A: 'in some cases we have limited or single-sources of supply'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $322.50, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or single-sources of supply. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $303.46. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $340.16 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $303.46. Stop-loss: $303.46.
Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or single-sources of supply; Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5.
Sherwin-Williams Company (The) trades at a P/E of 30.5 (forward 23.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover SHW with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $378.
What does Sherwin-Williams Company (The) do?Sherwin-Williams develops, manufactures, and sells paint, coatings, and related products through three segments: Paint...
Sherwin-Williams develops, manufactures, and sells paint, coatings, and related products through three segments: Paint Stores Group (4,853 specialty stores in US/Canada/Caribbean), Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. Revenue comes from professional contractors, DIY consumers, and industrial customers globally. Foreign subsidiaries contributed ~19.6% of net sales in 2025.