Skip to main content

Sea Limited (SE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through E-commerce, Digital Financial Services, and Digital Entertainment segments. It offers Garena, a digital... Read more

$87.97+44.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 18 Internet Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.66%
Stop $81.17Target $126.45(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$140.50+59.7%28 analysts
$126.45our TP
$87.97price
$140.50mean
$195

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Sea Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 45%
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.4
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$53.5B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth46.6%
Beta1.57
DividendNone
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$55-37.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $81.84Resistance $99.97

Price Targets

$81
$126
A.Upside+43.7%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $87.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Prior stop was $81.17. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the SE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.45 (+44.9% upside). Prior stop was $81.17. Stop-loss: $81.17.

What are the risks of investing in SE?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is SE overvalued or undervalued?

Sea Limited trades at a P/E of 34.4 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SE?

38 analysts cover SE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $140.

What does Sea Limited do?Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of...

Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through E-commerce, Digital Financial Services, and Digital Entertainment segments. It offers Garena, a digital entertainment platform for users to access mobile and PC online games, as well as promotes eSports operations and develops games. The company also operates the Shopee e-commerce platform, a mobile-centric marketplace that provides integrated payments, logistics and fulfillment infrastructure, and other value-added services. In addition, it offers Monee digital financial services comprising consumer, and small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) credit, e- wallets, payment processing, banking, Insurtech, and wealth services; and acts as an underwriter for various life and non-life insurance products under the MoneeInsure tradename, as well as insurance agency services. It serves buyers, such as individuals and households; and sellers, including small and medium businesses, brands, and large retailers. The company was formerly known as Garena Interactive Holding Limited and changed its name to Sea Limited in April 2017. Sea Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Related stocks: CART (Maplebear Inc.) · PDD (PDD Holdings Inc.) · EBAY (eBay Inc.) · BABA (Alibaba Group Holding Limited) · VIPS (Vipshop Holdings Limited)