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SESea LimitedSell5.5·$97.50
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Sea Limited has a wide economic moat, a perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9/9, 47% year-over-year revenue growth, and an analyst consensus implying 62% upside, but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average falling at -8.5% per month and 3 consecutive earnings misses mean the fundamental thesis is not yet translating into price.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Exceptional Growth→Stable
  • Massive Analyst Implied Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Misses Execution Gap↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sea Limited (SE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $97.50: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through E-commerce, Digital Financial Services, and Digital Entertainment segments. It offers Garena, a digital... Read more

$97.50+43.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#10 of 16 Internet Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.11%
Stop $92.02Target $139.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 7.6:1
Analyst target$154.93+58.9%28 analysts
$139.44our TP
$97.50price
$154.93mean
$195

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $97.50: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Analyst upside: 43%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.1
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$58.4B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth48.1%
Beta1.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.45bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
5.3
Support Resistance
6.0
GatesINSIDER 0.55%=MODERATEMomentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 7.6 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $92.25Resistance $105.39

Price Targets

$92
$139
A.Upside+43.0%
A.R:R7.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts37
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$155

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $97.50: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $92.02. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the SE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $139.44 (+43.0% upside). Prior stop was $92.02. Stop-loss: $92.02.

What are the risks of investing in SE?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SE overvalued or undervalued?

Sea Limited trades at a P/E of 37.1 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SE?

37 analysts cover SE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $155.

What does Sea Limited do?Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of...

Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through E-commerce, Digital Financial Services, and Digital Entertainment segments. It offers Garena, a digital entertainment platform for users to access mobile and PC online games, as well as promotes eSports operations and develops games. The company also operates the Shopee e-commerce platform, a mobile-centric marketplace that provides integrated payments, logistics and fulfillment infrastructure, and other value-added services. In addition, it offers Monee digital financial services comprising consumer, and small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) credit, e- wallets, payment processing, banking, Insurtech, and wealth services; and acts as an underwriter for various life and non-life insurance products under the MoneeInsure tradename, as well as insurance agency services. It serves buyers, such as individuals and households; and sellers, including small and medium businesses, brands, and large retailers. The company was formerly known as Garena Interactive Holding Limited and changed its name to Sea Limited in April 2017. Sea Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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