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SESea LimitedSell5.1·$84.95-1.86%
SE · Why this verdict

Why Sea (SE) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E3.8
P/S8.9
EV/EBITDA0.9
Fwd P/E7.6
PEG5.7
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 16.3x
  • PEG: 1.31

Quality

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.0
ROA3.2
Gross margin4.9
Op margin3.3
Net margin3.2
Current ratio5.7
FCF quality4.3
Moat7.6
Piotroski F10.0
  • Earnings quality warning: 55% FCF/NI
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

Growth

6.3/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth2.6
  • Strong growth: 47% YoY

Momentum

1.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume0.6
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

8.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating9.0
Price target9.8
erm sentiment5.8
  • Analyst upside: 66%

Insider

3.4/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality3.0
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.1
  • Notable insider selling — $168,578,923 (0.318% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.1/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.4
quality rank4.8
growth rank8.3
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.9
support resistance8.5
52w position0.0
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.1
days to cover6.7
volatility0.0
put call0.0
implied vol3.3
max pain risk3.0
beta4.8
debt equity8.9
  • Elevated put/call: 2.74
  • High IV: 60%
  • Above max pain $60

Catalyst

2.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm6.5
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:4.8>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:64d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:1.4<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
4.82
Upside
+49.7%
Downside
10.3%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.57>1.3

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.1 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.4) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:1.4<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 4.82 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.4, Value at 6.3, and Growth at 6.3; the weakest are Momentum at 1.4, Catalyst at 2.9, and Insider at 3.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.82 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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