Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Sell if holding. At $59.17, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Etsy operates the Etsy marketplace (86.5M active buyers, $10.5B GMS in 2025) for handcrafted/vintage goods and Depop (resale fashion, $1.1B GMS, being sold to eBay in 2026). Revenue comes from transaction fees, payment processing, listing fees, and on-site advertising; 74% of... Read more
Sell if holding. At $59.17, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Etsy, Inc.
Latest news
- Etsy Stock: A 5X Upside Scenario Is Still on the Table - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool positive
- Etsy Stock Soars as Earnings Smash Expectations - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
- Etsy (NYSE:ETSY) Surprises With Q1 CY2026 Sales, Stock Soars - StockStory — StockStory positive
- ETSY ($ETSY) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- 7-Day Rally Sends Etsy Stock Up 24% - Trefis — Trefis positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierGoogle Cloud10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Google Cloud for a substantial portion of the computing, storage, data processing, networking, and other services for the Etsy Marketplace.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $59.17, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $54.60. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $64.55 (+12.0% upside). Prior stop was $54.60. Stop-loss: $54.60.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Etsy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
38 analysts cover ETSY with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $72.
What does Etsy, Inc. do?Etsy operates the Etsy marketplace (86.5M active buyers, $10.5B GMS in 2025) for handcrafted/vintage goods and Depop...
Etsy operates the Etsy marketplace (86.5M active buyers, $10.5B GMS in 2025) for handcrafted/vintage goods and Depop (resale fashion, $1.1B GMS, being sold to eBay in 2026). Revenue comes from transaction fees, payment processing, listing fees, and on-site advertising; 74% of Etsy marketplace GMS came from U.S. buyers.