Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.97: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.49.
Etsy operates two online marketplaces: the Etsy marketplace (10.5B GMS in 2025, 87.8% of total) connecting artisan sellers with global buyers, and Depop fashion resale (1.1B GMS, pending sale to eBay for 1.2B). Revenue comes from transaction fees, payment processing fees, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.97: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.49. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierGoogle Cloud10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Google Cloud for a substantial portion of the computing, storage, data processing, networking, and other services for the Etsy Marketplace'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -3.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Volatile — 5.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.97: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.49. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $59.48. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $69.46 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $59.48. Stop-loss: $59.48.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Cloud; Target reached (-9.2% upside); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).
Etsy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover ETSY with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $65.
What does Etsy, Inc. do?Etsy operates two online marketplaces: the Etsy marketplace (10.5B GMS in 2025, 87.8% of total) connecting artisan...
Etsy operates two online marketplaces: the Etsy marketplace (10.5B GMS in 2025, 87.8% of total) connecting artisan sellers with global buyers, and Depop fashion resale (1.1B GMS, pending sale to eBay for 1.2B). Revenue comes from transaction fees, payment processing fees, and listing fees.