MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1785.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Play and Apple app stores.
MercadoLibre is the leading online commerce and fintech ecosystem in Latin America, operating in 18 countries with the top e-commerce GMV and Mercado Pago fintech platform by monthly active users in key markets. Revenue comes from marketplace transaction fees, payment... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1785.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Play and Apple app stores. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierGoogle Play and Apple app stores10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on third-party platforms, such as Google Play and Apple app stores, to access our Mercado Libre and Mercado Pago apps'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-03Item 5.02LOWBoard established 2026 Bonus Program performance goals for NEOs (CEO, Executive Chairman, Fintech President, Technology & Operations President, CFO) based on Net revenues, Income from operations, TPV, and NPS metrics. Routine annual compensation arrangement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1785.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Play and Apple app stores. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $1676.95. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $2191.05 (+22.8% upside). Prior stop was $1676.95. Stop-loss: $1676.95.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Google Play and Apple app stores; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
MercadoLibre, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.8 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover MELI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $2435.
What does MercadoLibre, Inc. do?MercadoLibre is the leading online commerce and fintech ecosystem in Latin America, operating in 18 countries with the...
MercadoLibre is the leading online commerce and fintech ecosystem in Latin America, operating in 18 countries with the top e-commerce GMV and Mercado Pago fintech platform by monthly active users in key markets. Revenue comes from marketplace transaction fees, payment processing, logistics (Mercado Envios), and advertising. Network effects connect millions of buyers, sellers, and fintech users across the region.