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SCSCScanSource, Inc.Sell5.8·$61.97
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ScanSource combines a cheap, cash-generative valuation and rising analyst estimates with a weak-growth headwind and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Growth Headwind↓Deteriorating
  • Cheap Valuation With Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak With Rising Estimates↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ScanSource, Inc. (SCSC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.97 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

ScanSource is a technology distributor selling hardware, software and services to resellers, advisors and managed service providers, mainly in North America and Brazil. It earns margins on products from suppliers such as Cisco and Zebra, which each exceeded 10% of fiscal 2025... Read more

$61.97-11.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 7 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.78%
Stop $58.17Target $71.27(default +15%)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$64.50+4.1%2 analysts
$71.27our TP
$61.97price
$64.50mean
$51
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.97 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ScanSource, Inc.

About ScanSource, Inc.

ScanSource distributes technology solutions — mobility and barcode, point-of-sale, payment terminals, physical security, networking, and cloud/connectivity services — from more than 500 suppliers to approximately 25,000 channel sales partners across the United States, Canada, and Brazil, generating $3.04 billion in net sales for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025. Products from two suppliers, Cisco and Zebra, made up more than 10% of that net sales figure, while no single channel sales partner exceeded 10%.

ScanSource operates two segments: Specialty Technology Solutions, a wholesale/resale distribution model selling hardware and SaaS across the U.S., Canada, and Brazil, and Intelisys & Advisory, an agency-model technology services distributor that earns recurring commissions on connectivity, cloud, unified-communications, and managed-AI offerings sold through more than 200 telecom carriers and cloud providers. The company competes against broad-line distributors such as Ingram Micro and TD Synnex in its Specialty Technology Solutions segment. Because a significant percentage of net sales relates to products purchased from relatively few suppliers, including Cisco and Zebra, changes to supplier terms, rebates, or distribution rights could affect operating margins; ScanSource partly offsets this exposure through stock-rotation rights and price-protection provisions on slow-moving inventory. The company also depends on third-party shippers, including FedEx and UPS, for product delivery from its centralized U.S. warehouses and separate logistics providers in Brazil.

Show full overview

Beyond named-supplier concentration, ScanSource's 10-K flags a second, geographic layer to its supply-chain risk: the products it sells are manufactured or purchased by its suppliers largely outside the United States, primarily in Asia, exposing the company to disruption from political, social, or economic instability in that region even though ScanSource itself sources products for U.S. customers domestically. Separately, the filing notes that suppliers are increasingly consolidating, which the company says leaves it with fewer alternative sources and could shift the terms suppliers are willing to offer — a structural narrowing of ScanSource's negotiating position that compounds, rather than duplicates, its two-supplier revenue concentration.

See also: Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

From ScanSource, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth17.3%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierCisco and Zebra suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant percentage of our net sales relates to products we purchase from relatively few suppliers, including Cisco and Zebra.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Senior EVP and Chief Information Officer Rachel Hayden notified on May 22, 2026 that her role is eliminated effective June 8, 2026; entitled to severance under the Executive Severance Plan. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.45%=HEAVYMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.04Resistance $63.37

Price Targets

$58
$71
A.Upside-11.5%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 0.45%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCSC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.97 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $58.17. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.27 (-11.5% upside). Prior stop was $58.17. Stop-loss: $58.17.

What are the risks of investing in SCSC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is SCSC overvalued or undervalued?

ScanSource, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCSC?

8 analysts cover SCSC with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $65.

What does ScanSource, Inc. do?ScanSource is a technology distributor selling hardware, software and services to resellers, advisors and managed...

ScanSource is a technology distributor selling hardware, software and services to resellers, advisors and managed service providers, mainly in North America and Brazil. It earns margins on products from suppliers such as Cisco and Zebra, which each exceeded 10% of fiscal 2025 net sales.

Related stocks: ARW (Arrow Electronics, Inc.) · NSIT (Insight Enterprises, Inc.) · AVT (Avnet, Inc.) · CNXN (PC Connection, Inc.) · CLMB (Climb Global Solutions, Inc.)
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