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SCSCScanSource, Inc.Sell5.7·$56.50
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ScanSource combines a cheap, cash-generative valuation and rising analyst estimates with a weak-growth headwind and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Growth Headwind↓Deteriorating
  • Cheap Valuation With Cash Conversion↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Streak With Rising Estimates↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 20, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ScanSource, Inc. (SCSC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

ScanSource is a technology distributor serving about 25,000 channel sales partners in the United States and Brazil through two segments: Specialty Technology Solutions (wholesale/resale of barcode, POS, payment, security, networking and communications products) and Intelisys &... Read more

$56.50-3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 7 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.26%
Stop $54.12Analyst target $54.82(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$64.50+14.2%2 analysts with price targets
$56.50price
$64.50mean
$51
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/8 gates (news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ScanSource, Inc.

About ScanSource, Inc.

ScanSource generated net sales of $3.23 billion in the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026 by distributing technology products and services from approximately 500 suppliers to about 25,000 channel sales partners in the United States and Brazil. The South Carolina company, incorporated in 1992, markets over 65,000 products from facilities in Mississippi, California, Kentucky and three Brazilian states, and employed roughly 2,100 people at June 30, 2026.

The business runs on two sales models. Specialty Technology Solutions buys from suppliers and resells through a wholesale model, covering mobility and barcode, point-of-sale, payment terminals, physical security, networking, communications and connectivity products. Intelisys & Advisory acts as a technology services distributor under an agency sales model, offering connectivity, cloud and next-generation services through contracts with more than 200 telecom carriers and cloud providers. Channel sales partners buy mostly on a purchase order basis, and no single partner exceeded 10% of net sales in fiscal 2026. Supplier terms carry non-exclusive distribution rights, stock rotation and price protection provisions, and volume-based rebates. In the specialty segment the company competes with broad-line distributors Ingram Micro and TD Synnex, along with security specialists ADI and Wesco; in Intelisys & Advisory its named rivals are Avant and Telarus.

Show full overview

Supplier concentration is the sharpest exposure. Products from Cisco and Zebra each constituted more than 10% of net sales in fiscal 2026, and the company holds three non-exclusive agreements with each. The two-year Cisco distribution agreements for the United States and Brazil may be terminated on 30 days' notice, and the Zebra enterprise mobility agreement carries the same 30-day termination right. If either vendor changes terms, cuts rebates or shifts volume to other distributors, margins and revenue could weigh on results. The 10-K also notes that supplier consolidation is leaving the company with fewer alternative sources, and that a 2023 ransomware incident disrupted its ordering systems.

See also: Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

From ScanSource, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — ScanSource, Inc.

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T11:49:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 38%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth17.3%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$45-20.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierCisco and Zebra suppliers
    10-K Item 1: 'Products from two suppliers, Cisco and Zebra, each constituted more than 10% of our net sales for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026.'
  • LOWGeographicBrazil7.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 7.0% of our revenue, substantially from Brazil, was derived from our operations outside of the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-17Item 5.02LOW
    Director Peter C. Browning, on the Board since 2014, retired effective August 12, 2026; Board shrank to seven seats. Company states no disagreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.5
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.48%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.79Resistance $62.83

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! Target reached (-3.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCSC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $54.12. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCSC stock price target?

Analyst target $54.82 reached (−3.0% from $56.50); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $54.12. Stop-loss: $54.12.

What are the risks of investing in SCSC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is SCSC overvalued or undervalued?

ScanSource, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCSC?

8 analysts rate SCSC, with a consensus score of 2.4/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $65.

What does ScanSource, Inc. do?ScanSource is a technology distributor serving about 25,000 channel sales partners in the United States and Brazil...

ScanSource is a technology distributor serving about 25,000 channel sales partners in the United States and Brazil through two segments: Specialty Technology Solutions (wholesale/resale of barcode, POS, payment, security, networking and communications products) and Intelisys & Advisory (agency sales of connectivity and cloud services). Net sales were $3.23 billion in fiscal 2026, with products from approximately 500 suppliers. Cisco and Zebra each exceeded 10% of net sales.

Related stocks: ARW (Arrow Electronics, Inc.) · CLMB (Climb Global Solutions, Inc.) · AVT (Avnet, Inc.) · CNXN (PC Connection, Inc.) · NSIT (Insight Enterprises, Inc.)
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