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Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Wait for pullback to $157.25. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $169.84. Engine's entry $157.25 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper; Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico.

Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with mining, smelting, and refining operations solely in Peru (Toquepala, Cuajone) and Mexico (La Caridad, Buenavista, IMMSA underground mines), producing copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, and gold. Revenue is derived primarily... Read more

$169.84+19.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 6 Copper
Entry $157.25(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $142.67Target $194.95(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$163.54-3.7%15 analysts
$194.95our TP
$169.84price
$163.54mean
$126
$235

Wait for pullback to $157.25. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $169.84. Engine's entry $157.25 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper; Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.38, quality 8.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: copper
Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$139.1B
EV/EBITDA16.0
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE46.3%
Rev Growth36.2%
Beta1.17
Dividend2.37%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV71%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycopper
    10-K Item 1A: 'Over the last three years, approximately 75.9% of our revenues were generated from the sale of copper; 10.9% from molybdenum; 5.7% from silver; and 3.6% from zinc'
  • HIGHGeographicPeru and Mexico
    10-K Item 1: 'All of our mining, smelting and refining facilities are located in Peru and Mexico, and we conduct exploration activities in those countries and in Argentina and Chile'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02HIGH
    CEO Oscar Gonzalez Rocha passed away unexpectedly on April 13, 2026. Board appointed Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada as interim CEO effective April 16, 2026. No permanent successor named; Mr. Contreras will continue as a Board member.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $166.48Resistance $198.93

Price Targets

$143
$157
$195
A.Upside+14.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.4% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCCO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $157.25. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $169.84. Engine's entry $157.25 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper; Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.38, quality 8.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $194.95 (+14.8%), stop $142.67 (−19.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $194.95 (+19.9% upside). Target $194.95 (+14.8%), stop $142.67 (−19.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $142.67.

What are the risks of investing in SCCO?

Concentration risk — Commodity: copper; Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SCCO overvalued or undervalued?

Southern Copper Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SCCO?

16 analysts cover SCCO with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Southern Copper Corporation do?Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with mining, smelting, and refining operations solely in Peru...

Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with mining, smelting, and refining operations solely in Peru (Toquepala, Cuajone) and Mexico (La Caridad, Buenavista, IMMSA underground mines), producing copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, and gold. Revenue is derived primarily from copper (~75.9% of revenues over the last 3 years), sold under annual or longer-term contracts; molybdenum 10.9%, silver 5.7%, zinc 3.6%. Grupo Mexico owns 88.9% of capital stock through Americas Mining Corporation.

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