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SCCOSouthern Copper CorporationBuy Wait6.5·$194.53+0.68%
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Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Wait for pullback to $170.24. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $194.53. Engine's entry $170.24 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico.

Southern Copper mines, smelts, and refines copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver in Peru — operating the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines — and Mexico, where subsidiary Minera Mexico runs La Caridad, Buenavista, and five IMMSA underground mines. Revenue is dominated by copper... Read more

$194.53+16.9% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.64%
IncomeYield2.07%(5y avg 4.08%)Payout56.33%sustainable
Entry $170.24(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $149.97Target $199.13(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$164.54-15.4%16 analysts
$199.13our TP
$194.53price
$164.54mean
$126
$250

Wait for pullback to $170.24. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $194.53. Engine's entry $170.24 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-23.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Southern Copper Corporation

About Southern Copper Corporation

Southern Copper's open-pit mines Toquepala and Cuajone in Peru and La Caridad and Buenavista in Mexico are among the world's largest copper ore deposits, with copper accounting for approximately 75.9% of revenues over the three years through 2025 and the COMEX copper price averaging $4.82 per pound for full-year 2025, reaching a high of $5.80. By-products molybdenum, silver, and zinc contributed roughly 20% of revenues over the same period. The company employed 16,617 people at December 31, 2025, supported by approximately 12,400 contractors.

Southern Copper generates revenue by selling copper cathodes, rod, concentrates, and by-products at commodity prices set principally on the COMEX and LME for copper, zinc, and silver and by reference to Platt's Metals Week for molybdenum. Generally, 80% to 90% of metal production is sold under annual or longer-term contracts to end-user customers rather than on the spot market or to trading companies. Three reportable segments — Peruvian operations (Toquepala and Cuajone mines), Mexican open-pit operations (La Caridad and Buenavista), and IMMSA underground mines — produce copper and by-products with vertical integration spanning ore mining through refined copper rod and associated transport. Fuel, gas, and power costs constituted approximately 26% of total production costs in 2025 — down from 29% in 2023 — creating sensitivity to energy prices, regulatory changes, and supplier curtailments. Grupo Mexico, through Americas Mining Corporation, owned 88.9% of the company's capital stock at December 31, 2025.

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All of Southern Copper's mining, smelting, and refining facilities are located in Peru and Mexico, concentrating operational exposure in two jurisdictions with distinct community-relations and political risks. In February 2022, protesters blocked the railway to the Cuajone mine in the Moquegua region and seized water reservoir facilities; the Peruvian government declared a state of emergency in April 2022 before operations resumed. The company's Tia Maria project in Peru continues to face community demands for infrastructure commitments. In April 2026, Southern Copper disclosed via Form 8-K the unexpected passing of President and CEO Oscar Gonzalez Rocha, with Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada named as permanent CEO on April 23, 2026.

See also: Basic Materials · Copper

From Southern Copper Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.7
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$161.2B
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE46.3%
Rev Growth36.2%
Beta1.11
Dividend2.07%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$320+64.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycopper76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 75.9% of our revenues were generated from the sale of copper'
  • HIGHGeographicPeru and Mexico
    10-K Item 1: 'All of our mining, smelting and refining facilities are located in Peru and Mexico'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Oscar Gonzalez Rocha passed away unexpectedly on April 13, 2026. Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada appointed interim CEO effective April 16, 2026. No changes to his compensation approved in connection with interim appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Board appointed Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada as permanent CEO on April 23, 2026, following the April 13 passing of Oscar Gonzalez Rocha. Contreras Lerdo de Tejada continues to serve on the Board of Directors.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $165.23Resistance $203.19

Price Targets

$150
$170
$199
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-1.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.9% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCCO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $170.24. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $194.53. Engine's entry $170.24 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-23.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $199.13 (+2.4%), stop $149.97 (−29.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $199.13 (+16.9% upside). Target $199.13 (+2.4%), stop $149.97 (−29.7%), Setup A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $149.97.

What are the risks of investing in SCCO?

Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SCCO overvalued or undervalued?

Southern Copper Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.7 (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SCCO?

17 analysts cover SCCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $165.

What does Southern Copper Corporation do?Southern Copper mines, smelts, and refines copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver in Peru — operating the Toquepala and...

Southern Copper mines, smelts, and refines copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver in Peru — operating the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines — and Mexico, where subsidiary Minera Mexico runs La Caridad, Buenavista, and five IMMSA underground mines. Revenue is dominated by copper prices set on the COMEX and LME, with copper accounting for approximately 75.9% of revenues over the prior three years.

Related stocks: FCX (Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals Corp) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited)
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