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Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Wait for pullback to $159.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $170.19. Engine's entry $159.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico.

Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with all mining, smelting, and refining operations in Peru and Mexico, producing copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver. Revenues are primarily commodity-price-driven with copper generating approximately 75.9% of revenues over the... Read more

$170.19+12.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.02%
IncomeYield2.37%(5y avg 4.10%)Payout56.33%sustainable
Entry $159.14(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $142.50Target $191.03(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1Setup A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$158.19-7.1%15 analysts
$191.03our TP
$170.19price
$158.19mean
$125
$233

Wait for pullback to $159.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $170.19. Engine's entry $159.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.38, quality 9.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Southern Copper Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 29, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Board appointed Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada as permanent CEO effective April 23, 2026, converting his interim role to permanent. Successor named; no compensation changes disclosed at filing.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.5
P/E (Fwd)25.3
Mkt Cap$141.0B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE46.3%
Rev Growth36.2%
Beta1.08
Dividend2.37%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycopper76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Over the last three years, approximately 75.9% of our revenues were generated from the sale of copper; 10.9% from molybdenum; 5.7% from silver; and 3.6% from zinc.'
  • HIGHGeographicPeru and Mexico
    10-K Item 1: 'All of our mining, smelting and refining facilities are located in Peru and Mexico, and we conduct exploration activities in those countries and in Argentina and Chile.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02HIGH
    CEO Oscar Gonzalez Rocha died unexpectedly on April 13, 2026 after a 50-year career. Board appointed Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada as interim CEO effective April 16, 2026. No permanent successor named at time of this filing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Board appointed Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada as permanent CEO effective April 23, 2026, converting his interim role to permanent. Successor named; no compensation changes disclosed at filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $165.02Resistance $194.93

Price Targets

$143
$159
$191
A.Upside+12.2%
A.R:R-1.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.5% upside)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCCO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $159.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $170.19. Engine's entry $159.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.38, quality 9.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $191.03 (+12.2%), stop $142.50 (−19.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $191.03 (+12.9% upside). Target $191.03 (+12.2%), stop $142.50 (−19.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $142.50.

What are the risks of investing in SCCO?

Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SCCO overvalued or undervalued?

Southern Copper Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.5 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SCCO?

17 analysts cover SCCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $158.

What does Southern Copper Corporation do?Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with all mining, smelting, and refining operations in Peru and Mexico,...

Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with all mining, smelting, and refining operations in Peru and Mexico, producing copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver. Revenues are primarily commodity-price-driven with copper generating approximately 75.9% of revenues over the last three years; the company believes it has the largest copper reserves in the world.

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