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Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (FCX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. The company primarily explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and other metals. Its assets include the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; Morenci,... Read more

$60.65+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.89%
IncomeYield0.95%(5y avg 1.27%)Payout31.75%sustainable
Stop $56.27Target $60.72(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$67.47+11.2%21 analysts
$60.72our TP
$60.65price
$67.47mean
$31
$76

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.3
P/E (Fwd)17.0
Mkt Cap$90.6B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta1.32
Dividend0.95%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$35-42.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Douglas N. Currault II Executive Vice President and General Counsel (authorized signatory) Date: March 23, 2026
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
3.0
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.49Resistance $70.72

Price Targets

$56
$61
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.4% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $60.72 (+0.1%), stop $56.27 (−7.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.72 (+0.4% upside). Target $60.72 (+0.1%), stop $56.27 (−7.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $56.27.

What are the risks of investing in FCX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is FCX overvalued or undervalued?

Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCX?

29 analysts cover FCX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. do?Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. The...

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. The company primarily explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and other metals. Its assets include the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, and Miami in Arizona; Chino and Tyrone in New Mexico; and Henderson and Climax in Colorado, North America, as well as Cerro Verde in Peru and El Abra in Chile. The company was formerly known as Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. and changed its name to Freeport-McMoRan Inc. in July 2014. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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