Skip to main content

Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (FCX) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.6%; Negative news sentiment (-0.70).

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. The company primarily explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and other metals. Its assets include the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; Morenci,... Read more

$57.44+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 6 Copper
Stop $54.89Target $61.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$67.90+18.2%21 analysts
$61.11our TP
$57.44price
$67.90mean
$31
$81

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.6%; Negative news sentiment (-0.70). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.6%
Negative news sentiment (-0.70)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.1
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$81.7B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta1.47
Dividend1.05%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV58%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Douglas N. Currault II Executive Vice President and General Counsel (authorized signatory) Date: March 23, 2026
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
4.0
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.59Resistance $70.97

Price Targets

$55
$61
A.Upside+6.4%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.6%; Negative news sentiment (-0.70). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $61.11 (+6.4%), stop $54.89 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.11 (+6.6% upside). Target $61.11 (+6.4%), stop $54.89 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $54.89.

What are the risks of investing in FCX?

Thin upside margin: 6.6%; Negative news sentiment (-0.70); Negative momentum.

Is FCX overvalued or undervalued?

Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.1 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCX?

28 analysts cover FCX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. do?Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. The...

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. The company primarily explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and other metals. Its assets include the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, and Miami in Arizona; Chino and Tyrone in New Mexico; and Henderson and Climax in Colorado, North America, as well as Cerro Verde in Peru and El Abra in Chile. The company was formerly known as Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. and changed its name to Freeport-McMoRan Inc. in July 2014. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

Related stocks: HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc.) · SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation) · NEM (Newmont Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited)