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SBRSabine Royalty TrustBuy Wait6.2·$73.75-2.29%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Sabine Royalty Trust operates with exceptional 95% margins and ranks best-in-class on profitability versus peers, but revenue has declined 27% year over year and momentum is weak, creating a high-quality but structurally shrinking business that requires a freight rate or commodity price recovery to justify new investment.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Structural RiskStable
  • Best In Class Margin QualityStable
  • Earnings Miss ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sabine Royalty Trust (SBR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $70.31. BUY gates pass at $73.75, but consecutive earnings misses (3) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.31 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United States. The company's royalty and mineral interests include landowner's royalties, overriding royalty interests, minerals, production payments, and other similar... Read more

$73.75+7.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#21 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield6.29%(5y avg 8.65%)Payout99.94%at-risk
Entry $70.31(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $67.37Target $75.36(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Wait for pullback to $70.31. BUY gates pass at $73.75, but consecutive earnings misses (3) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.31 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Strong overall profile with balanced scores. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202663d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn94.7%
ROE914.2%
Rev Growth16.5%
Beta0.23
Dividend6.29%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
2.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.39Resistance $76.90

Price Targets

$67
$70
$75
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %1.9%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $70.31. BUY gates pass at $73.75, but consecutive earnings misses (3) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $70.31 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Strong overall profile with balanced scores. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $75.36 (+2.2%), stop $67.37 (−9.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

What is the SBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.36 (+7.6% upside). Target $75.36 (+2.2%), stop $67.37 (−9.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $67.37.

What are the risks of investing in SBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is SBR overvalued or undervalued?

Sabine Royalty Trust trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

0
What does Sabine Royalty Trust do?Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United...

Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United States. The company's royalty and mineral interests include landowner's royalties, overriding royalty interests, minerals, production payments, and other similar non-participatory interests in certain producing and proved undeveloped oil and gas properties located in Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. Sabine Royalty Trust was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

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