StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: four largest parts suppliers (OEMs); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
StandardAero is the largest independent pure-play aerospace engine MRO provider, serving commercial, military, and business aviation with ~5,000 customers globally. ~80% of 2025 revenue came from customers under long-term agreements; top-4 OEM customers drove 36% of 2025 revenue.
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: four largest parts suppliers (OEMs); Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop-4 OEM customers36%10-K Item 1A: 'our top four OEM customers accounted for approximately 36% and 41% of our revenue, respectively'
- HIGHSupplierfour largest parts suppliers (OEMs)10-K Item 1A: 'our four largest parts suppliers, which consisted of OEMs, accounted for a substantial majority of our total parts purchases'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.43 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: four largest parts suppliers (OEMs); Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $23.12. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $32.16 (+31.6% upside). Prior stop was $23.12. Stop-loss: $23.12.
Concentration risk — Supplier: four largest parts suppliers (OEMs); Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.
StandardAero, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.4 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover SARO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $37.
What does StandardAero, Inc. do?StandardAero is the largest independent pure-play aerospace engine MRO provider, serving commercial, military, and...
StandardAero is the largest independent pure-play aerospace engine MRO provider, serving commercial, military, and business aviation with ~5,000 customers globally. ~80% of 2025 revenue came from customers under long-term agreements; top-4 OEM customers drove 36% of 2025 revenue.