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V2X, Inc. (VVX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.99: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

V2X provides critical mission solutions primarily to defense customers across 349 locations in 49 countries, with capabilities in readiness, supply chain, communications, and platform sustainment; it generated $4.48B in 2025 revenue with ~95% as prime contractor. Revenue flows... Read more

$72.99+5.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.78%
Stop $67.80Target $76.79(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$79.42+8.8%12 analysts
$76.79our TP
$72.99price
$79.42mean
$70
$94

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.99: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — V2X, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government
Target reached (-5.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.7
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE8.3%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta0.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$45-38.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. federal government
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a substantial majority of our revenue from our contracts with the U.S. federal government'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Director Steven Waechter (age 76) not renominated per board age policy; term ended at 2026 Annual Meeting. Board reduced from 10 to 9 members. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Operating Margin
1.4
Roa
2.7
Roe
2.8
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
9.9
Excellent cash conversion: 147% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.42Resistance $78.36

Price Targets

$68
$77
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VVX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.99: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $67.80. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VVX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.79 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $67.80. Stop-loss: $67.80.

What are the risks of investing in VVX?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government; Target reached (-5.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is VVX overvalued or undervalued?

V2X, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.7 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VVX?

16 analysts cover VVX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $79.

What does V2X, Inc. do?V2X provides critical mission solutions primarily to defense customers across 349 locations in 49 countries, with...

V2X provides critical mission solutions primarily to defense customers across 349 locations in 49 countries, with capabilities in readiness, supply chain, communications, and platform sustainment; it generated $4.48B in 2025 revenue with ~95% as prime contractor. Revenue flows almost entirely from U.S. Army ($1.83B), Navy ($1.48B), and Air Force ($0.57B); its largest single contract (Kuwait Task Order under LOGCAP V) is 9.9% of revenue.

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