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V2X, Inc. (VVX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.67: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

V2X is a defense and national security solutions provider operating across 349 locations in 49 countries, with approximately 16,200 employees and 7,300 subcontract personnel. Revenue derives substantially from U.S. federal government contracts; the Kuwait Task Order under LOGCAP... Read more

$66.67+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $62.01Target $67.24(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$77.29+15.9%12 analysts
$67.24our TP
$66.67price
$77.29mean
$94

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.67: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government
Target reached (0.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.8
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta0.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$55-17.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. federal government
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a substantial majority of our revenue from our contracts with the U.S. federal government'
  • LOWCustomerKuwait Task Order (LOGCAP V)9.9%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Kuwait Task Order under the LOGCAP V contract vehicle...9.9% of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
8.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Operating Margin
1.7
Roe
2.5
Roa
2.5
Current Ratio
4.6
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 233% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.42Resistance $72.75

Price Targets

$62
$67
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VVX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.67: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $62.01. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VVX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.24 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $62.01. Stop-loss: $62.01.

What are the risks of investing in VVX?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government; Target reached (0.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is VVX overvalued or undervalued?

V2X, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VVX?

15 analysts cover VVX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $77.

What does V2X, Inc. do?V2X is a defense and national security solutions provider operating across 349 locations in 49 countries, with...

V2X is a defense and national security solutions provider operating across 349 locations in 49 countries, with approximately 16,200 employees and 7,300 subcontract personnel. Revenue derives substantially from U.S. federal government contracts; the Kuwait Task Order under LOGCAP V was the largest single contract at ~$441.6M (9.9% of 2025 revenues).

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