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SAPSAP SESell5.4·$178.92-1.65%
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SAP SE (SAP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $178.92: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth.

SAP SE, together with its subsidiaries, provides enterprise application and business solutions worldwide. It offers SAP Business AI; SAP S/4HANA that provides software capabilities for finance, risk and project management, procurement, manufacturing, supply chain and asset... Read more

$178.92+24.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#63 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.80%
IncomeYield1.61%(5y avg 1.48%)Payout37.15%sustainable
Stop $166.40Target $223.16(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$256.50+43.4%12 analysts
$223.16our TP
$178.92price
$256.50mean
$323

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $178.92: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: conservative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.3
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$214.5B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn19.6%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta0.73
Dividend1.61%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$120-32.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Value Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
7.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Conservative
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $158.58Resistance $196.39

Price Targets

$166
$223
A.Upside+24.7%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $178.92: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $166.40. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $223.16 (+24.7% upside). Prior stop was $166.40. Stop-loss: $166.40.

What are the risks of investing in SAP?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SAP overvalued or undervalued?

SAP SE trades at a P/E of 25.3 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SAP?

39 analysts cover SAP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $257.

What does SAP SE do?SAP SE, together with its subsidiaries, provides enterprise application and business solutions worldwide. It offers SAP...

SAP SE, together with its subsidiaries, provides enterprise application and business solutions worldwide. It offers SAP Business AI; SAP S/4HANA that provides software capabilities for finance, risk and project management, procurement, manufacturing, supply chain and asset management, and research and development; SAP SuccessFactors solutions for human resources, including HR, time, payroll, talent and employee experience management, and analytics and planning; and spend management solutions that covers direct and indirect spend, travel and expense, and external workforce management. The company also provides SAP customer experience solutions; SAP Business Technology platform that enables customers and partners to build, integrate, and automate applications; and SAP Business Network, a business-to-business collaboration platform that helps digitalize key business processes across the supply chain and enables communication between trading partners. In addition, it offers SAP Signavio to help customers to discover, analyze, and understand business process operations; industry solutions that provide customers and partners with industry-specific solutions; and SAP LeanIX to visualize enterprise architecture, assess interdependencies and the potential impact of IT modernization, and manage the transition toward the target landscape. Further, the company provides WalkMe to execute workflows; SAP Enable Now, which offers e-learning content embedded in SAP workflows; Taulia solutions for working capital management; and sustainability solutions and services. Additionally, it provides services and support solutions. The company has a strategic collaboration with Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA and Avelios Medical GmbH for the development of a cloud-native, hospital information system that enables digitalization of clinical and administrative processes with AI integration. SAP SE was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Walldorf, Germany.

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