Skip to main content

Science Applications Internatio (SAIC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.50 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (98.0%).

Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) provides technical, engineering, and IT services primarily to the US government through Defense and Intelligence and Civilian reportable segments, with approximately 23,000 employees and 1,700 active contracts. Approximately... Read more

$95.500.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 35 Information Technology Services
Stop $90.15Target $95.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$109.78+15.0%9 analysts
$95.51our TP
$95.50price
$109.78mean
$85
$130

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.50 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (98.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (98.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE23.3%
Rev Growth-4.8%
Beta0.30
Dividend1.56%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$155+62.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We generated 98% of our total revenues during each of the last three fiscal years from contracts with the U.S. government, either as a prime contractor or as a subcontractor'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Paul Eremenko and Admiral Michael Rogers (USN Ret.) appointed to SAIC Board effective April 8, 2026 (both joining Audit and Technology Committees). Board expanded from 11 to 13 members. No departures cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    James C. Reagan appointed permanent CEO of SAIC effective February 17, 2026, converting from Interim CEO role held since October 23, 2025. Reagan previously served as CFO of Leidos Holdings.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.2
Quality Rank
5.2
Value Rank
7.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.9
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
3.6
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.35Resistance $102.06

Price Targets

$90
$96
A.Upside+0.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.0% upside)
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-01 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.50 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (98.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $90.15. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SAIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.51 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $90.15. Stop-loss: $90.15.

What are the risks of investing in SAIC?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (98.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is SAIC overvalued or undervalued?

Science Applications Internatio trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SAIC?

16 analysts cover SAIC with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Science Applications Internatio do?Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) provides technical, engineering, and IT services primarily to the...

Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) provides technical, engineering, and IT services primarily to the US government through Defense and Intelligence and Civilian reportable segments, with approximately 23,000 employees and 1,700 active contracts. Approximately 98% of revenues come from US government contracts.

Related stocks: VRRM (Verra Mobility Corporation) · BR (Broadridge Financial Solutions,) · INOD (Innodata Inc.) · JKHY (Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.) · EXLS (ExlService Holdings, Inc.)